Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between HSC '21 and USV Hercules finished 1-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USV Hercules.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: USV Hercules
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and USV Hercules come out ahead of HSC '21 on wins alone.
- Win probability leans USV Hercules's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors USV Hercules here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 55%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
HSC '21 Clean Sheet 10%
USV Hercules Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | HSC '21 | USV Hercules |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 4 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 24 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 1.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.03 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.55 | 2.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Derde Divisie
HSC '21 vs USV Hercules
1:7
Nov 8, 2025 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs HSC '21
5:2
Feb 23, 2025 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs HSC '21
2:3
Sep 29, 2024 Derde Divisie
HSC '21 vs USV Hercules
2:3
May 25, 2024 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs HSC '21
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
HSC '21 14 / 100
USV Hercules 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
HSC '21 USV Hercules
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick USV Hercules Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 5.60 goals per match.
USV Hercules's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.
Recent resilience: HSC '21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Away concern: USV Hercules has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
HSC '21 VS USV Hercules
1.6 Goals Scored 1.5
2.6 Goals Conceded 1.5
80% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 63%
60% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
HSC '21
(Home) 23 May
VV Scherpenzeel
4 : 4 HSC '21
16 May
HSC '21
1 : 1 Urk
09 May
Staphorst
4 : 0 HSC '21
26 Apr
HSC '21
3 : 4 TEC
18 Apr
Harkemase Boys
0 : 0 HSC '21
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16 May
HSC '21
1 : 1 Urk
26 Apr
HSC '21
3 : 4 TEC
12 Apr
HSC '21
1 : 7 USV Hercules
21 Mar
HSC '21
0 : 3 Excelsior 31
28 Feb
HSC '21
0 : 2 Genemuiden
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USV Hercules
(Away) 27 Sept
HVV Hollandia
0 : 3 USV Hercules
20 Sept
USV Hercules
2 : 4 TEC
12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2 USV Hercules
05 Sept
USV Hercules
0 : 3 ACV Assen
02 Sept
USV Hercules
1 : 3 EVV
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27 Sept
HVV Hollandia
0 : 3 USV Hercules
12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2 USV Hercules
29 Aug
Harkemase Boys
5 : 3 USV Hercules
16 Aug
ADO 20 Heemskerk
3 : 1 USV Hercules
08 Aug
Rijnsburgse Boys
1 : 1 USV Hercules
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
