Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HSV Hoek vs NAC Breda

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Balard M.
45' Event
Gladon P.
90' Event
Sula D.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between HSV Hoek and NAC Breda finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward NAC Breda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
HSV Hoek
35%
Draws
45%
NAC Breda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: NAC Breda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and HSV Hoek come out ahead of NAC Breda on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
HSV Hoek Clean Sheet 16%
NAC Breda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HSV Hoek NAC Breda
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.62 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
HSV Hoek vs NAC Breda
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HSV Hoek Compare

Top Goalscorer Sula D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

NAC Breda Compare

Top Goalscorer Balard M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gladon P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HSV Hoek 31 / 100
NAC Breda 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HSV Hoek NAC Breda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HSV Hoek scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

NAC Breda let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

HSV Hoek has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

HSV Hoek VS NAC Breda
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

HSV Hoek

(Home)
19 Sept
HSV Hoek
2 : 2
Jong Almere City
12 Sept
Barendrecht
1 : 1
HSV Hoek
05 Sept
RKAV Volendam
2 : 1
HSV Hoek
29 Aug
HSV Hoek
0 : 2
Spakenburg
22 Aug
Katwijk
1 : 1
HSV Hoek
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NAC Breda

(Away)
20 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 2
NAC Breda
11 Sept
NAC Breda
2 : 3
Jong Utrecht
04 Sept
Waalwijk
4 : 2
NAC Breda
28 Aug
Roda
2 : 2
NAC Breda
22 Aug
NAC Breda
3 : 2
Jong Ajax
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