Sport Picks
Match Events
31'
31'
Schalkwijk S.
(Penalty)
49'
49'
Schalkwijk S.
65'
65'
Lion J.
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2024/2025 game between HSV Hoek and Smitshoek finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HSV Hoek.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
20%
30%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: HSV Hoek
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- HSV Hoek carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans HSV Hoek's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
HSV Hoek Clean Sheet 20%
Smitshoek Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | HSV Hoek | Smitshoek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.65 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 2.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 8, 2025 Derde Divisie
HSV Hoek vs Smitshoek
4:0
Oct 5, 2024 Derde Divisie
Smitshoek vs HSV Hoek
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
HSV Hoek Compare
Top Goalscorer Schalkwijk S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Lion J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Smitshoek Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
HSV Hoek 85 / 100
Smitshoek 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
HSV Hoek Smitshoek
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick HSV Hoek Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
HSV Hoek scored in 88% of their last 34 games.
Smitshoek has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.
HSV Hoek has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
HSV Hoek VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
HSV Hoek
(Home) 12 Sept
Barendrecht
1 : 1 HSV Hoek
05 Sept
RKAV Volendam
2 : 1 HSV Hoek
29 Aug
HSV Hoek
0 : 2 Spakenburg
22 Aug
Katwijk
1 : 1 HSV Hoek
15 Aug
HSV Hoek
3 : 1 Koninklijke HFC
Page 1 of 7
29 Aug
HSV Hoek
0 : 2 Spakenburg
15 Aug
HSV Hoek
3 : 1 Koninklijke HFC
15 Jul
HSV Hoek
1 : 2 NAC Breda
16 May
HSV Hoek
2 : 0 Rijnsburgse Boys
25 Apr
HSV Hoek
4 : 0 Jong Almere City
Page 1 of 4
Smitshoek
(Away) 02 Aug
Barendrecht
2 : 1 Smitshoek
24 May
Smitshoek
1 : 5 VV Kloetinge
17 May
UNA
1 : 2 Smitshoek
10 May
Smitshoek
2 : 9 VVSB
03 May
Kozakken Boys
7 : 1 Smitshoek
Page 1 of 6
02 Aug
Barendrecht
2 : 1 Smitshoek
17 May
UNA
1 : 2 Smitshoek
03 May
Kozakken Boys
7 : 1 Smitshoek
12 Apr
ASWH
3 : 5 Smitshoek
22 Mar
GOES
1 : 3 Smitshoek
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 98:35 | 82 |
| 2 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 74:46 | 70 |
| 3 | Sportlust | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 78:37 | 67 |
| 4 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 78:52 | 65 |
| 5 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 68:50 | 58 |
| 6 | USV Hercules | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 65:56 | 54 |
| 7 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43:39 | 52 |
| 8 | Genemuiden | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 52:44 | 48 |
| 9 | Urk | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 56:67 | 47 |
| 10 | Eemdijk | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 64:66 | 43 |
| 11 | TEC | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:56 | 42 |
| 12 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 63:68 | 40 |
| 13 | HSC '21 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 50:66 | 40 |
| 14 | Huizen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 44:62 | 36 |
| 15 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 46:71 | 36 |
| 16 | Ajax (Am) | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 48:64 | 35 |
| 17 | DEM | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 43:85 | 30 |
| 18 | HBC | 34 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 40:92 | 10 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 77:33 | 70 |
| 2 | Kozakken Boys | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 72:29 | 64 |
| 3 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 73:45 | 64 |
| 4 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66:42 | 61 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57:50 | 58 |
| 6 | Lisse | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55:41 | 54 |
| 7 | UNA | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 51:48 | 53 |
| 8 | VVSB | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:61 | 51 |
| 9 | SteDoCo | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 57:46 | 48 |
| 10 | Meerssen | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:50 | 45 |
| 11 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 63:72 | 45 |
| 12 | ASWH | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 59:73 | 42 |
| 13 | TOGB | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 55:53 | 41 |
| 14 | GOES | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 53:65 | 39 |
| 15 | OJC Rosmalen | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 45:58 | 39 |
| 16 | FC 's-Gravenzande | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 51:69 | 34 |
| 17 | Smitshoek | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 53:94 | 25 |
| 18 | HV & CV Quick | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 42:105 | 19 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
