Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Huachipato vs D. Concepcion

Chile Chile

Copa de la Liga Estadio Huachipato-CAP Acero, Talcahuano
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Altamirano L.
(Penalty)
24' Event
Larrivey J.
46'
Sub
Carcamo J. In: Sepulveda C.
Out: Carcamo J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Huachipato
15%
Draws
67%
D. Concepcion
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: D. Concepcion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • D. Concepcion have won more games recently than Huachipato.
  • 67% — that's where the model lands on D. Concepcion taking it.
  • D. Concepcion arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor D. Concepcion, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Huachipato Clean Sheet 11%
D. Concepcion Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Huachipato D. Concepcion
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.29 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 Copa Chile
Huachipato vs D. Concepcion
1:2
Jun 24, 2026 Copa Chile
D. Concepcion vs Huachipato
3:2
May 24, 2026 Liga de Primera
D. Concepcion vs Huachipato
2:0
May 5, 2026 Copa de la Liga
D. Concepcion vs Huachipato
0:1
Mar 21, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Huachipato vs D. Concepcion
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Huachipato Compare

Top Goalscorer Canete E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

D. Concepcion Compare

Top Goalscorer Larrivey J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Huachipato 10 / 100
D. Concepcion 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Huachipato D. Concepcion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick D. Concepcion Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Huachipato found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

D. Concepcion has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Huachipato went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Huachipato VS D. Concepcion
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Huachipato

(Home)
08 Aug
Huachipato
1 : 4
Everton
02 Aug
U. De Chile
2 : 0
Huachipato
25 Jul
Huachipato
3 : 3
Cobresal
12 Jul
Deportes Temuco
0 : 1
Huachipato
05 Jul
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 1
Huachipato
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D. Concepcion

(Away)
09 Aug
D. Concepcion
1 : 0
U. De Concepcion
02 Aug
D. Concepcion
3 : 0
U. Catolica
27 Jul
D. Concepcion
2 : 0
O Higgins
12 Jul
D. Concepcion
2 : 0
D. Puerto Montt
06 Jul
D. Concepcion
2 : 0
Deportes Temuco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coquimbo 6 4 2 0 9:5 14
2 Colo Colo 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
3 Huachipato 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 D. Concepcion 6 0 1 5 6:13 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nublense 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 U. Catolica 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
3 U. De Concepcion 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
4 Cobresal 6 1 1 4 6:14 4
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 O Higgins 6 4 2 0 11:6 14
2 Everton 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
3 Limache 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
4 Palestino 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union La Calera 6 4 1 1 7:3 13
2 A. Italiano 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
3 U. De Chile 6 2 2 2 12:7 8
4 La Serena 6 0 1 5 6:18 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)