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Huarte vs Pena

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Gonzalez I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 game between Huarte and Pena finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Huarte
35%
Draws
41%
Pena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Pena carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Huarte taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Pena have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Huarte Clean Sheet 20%
Pena Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Huarte Pena
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 12 18
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.29 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Huarte vs Pena
0:1
Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs Huarte
2:1
Jan 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs Huarte
1:0
Sep 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Huarte vs Pena
2:0
Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs Huarte
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Huarte Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Pena Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Huarte 42 / 100
Pena 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Huarte Pena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Huarte scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Pena let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Huarte went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Huarte VS Pena
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Huarte

(Home)
03 Oct
Pamplona
0 : 0
Huarte
25 Sept
Doneztebe FT
3 : 3
Huarte
18 Sept
Huarte
0 : 0
Aoiz
10 Sept
CD Cantolagua
2 : 1
Huarte
05 Sept
Huarte
0 : 0
Mutilvera
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Pena

(Away)
03 Oct
Pena
4 : 0
SD Logrones
26 Sept
Barcelona B
4 : 0
Pena
19 Sept
Pena
2 : 1
Espanyol B
12 Sept
CE Manresa
2 : 0
Pena
06 Sept
Pena
1 : 1
Utebo FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)