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Hubei Istar vs Guangdong Mingtu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

League Two Xinhua Road Sports Center, Wuhan
Our Tip

Match Events

57'
Sub
Zhang Chengji In: Qu D.
Out: Zhang Chengji
60'
Sub
Zhang Zhihao In: Li T.
Out: Zhang Zhihao
60'
Sub
He J. In: Xin Hongjun
Out: He J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Hubei Istar
30%
Draws
37%
Guangdong Mingtu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guangdong Mingtu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Guangdong Mingtu haven't matched Hubei Istar's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Hubei Istar here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Hubei Istar Clean Sheet 20%
Guangdong Mingtu Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hubei Istar Guangdong Mingtu
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 8 13
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.24 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 League Two
Hubei Istar vs Guangdong Mingtu
0:0
May 10, 2026 League Two
Guangdong Mingtu vs Hubei Istar
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 League Two
Hubei Istar vs Guangdong Mingtu
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 League Two
Guangdong Mingtu vs Hubei Istar
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hubei Istar 32 / 100
Guangdong Mingtu 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hubei Istar Guangdong Mingtu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hubei Istar scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Hubei Istar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Guangdong Mingtu conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hubei Istar VS Guangdong Mingtu
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.13
50% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hubei Istar

(Home)
06 Oct
Hubei Istar
2 : 0
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
19 Sept
Shanghai Second
0 : 0
Hubei Istar
12 Sept
Hubei Istar
1 : 2
Changchun Xidu
23 Aug
Shenzhen 2028
0 : 1
Hubei Istar
16 Aug
Hubei Istar
0 : 1
Hangzhou Linping
Page 1 of 6

Guangdong Mingtu

(Away)
06 Oct
Guangdong Mingtu
1 : 1
Dalian Yingbo B
18 Sept
Changchun Xidu
0 : 0
Guangdong Mingtu
12 Sept
Guangdong Mingtu
1 : 0
Shanghai Second
23 Aug
Hangzhou Linping
1 : 0
Guangdong Mingtu
16 Aug
Guangdong Mingtu
3 : 0
Wuhan Three Towns B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shandong Taishan B 22 12 5 5 33:21 41
2 Shanghai Port B 22 12 4 6 36:19 40
3 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 22 12 4 6 29:17 40
4 Dalian Kewei 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
5 Taian Tiankuang 22 8 7 7 25:23 31
6 Dalian Yingbo B 22 6 10 6 21:22 28
7 Nantong Haimen 22 5 11 6 25:23 26
8 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 22 4 14 4 13:16 26
9 Qingdao Red Lions 22 5 10 7 22:20 25
10 Changchun Xidu 22 3 11 8 15:28 20
11 Beijing Technology 22 3 7 12 21:42 16
12 Shanghai Second 22 2 9 11 22:39 15
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guizhou Guiyang 22 13 3 6 32:17 42
2 Shenzhen 2028 22 10 7 5 37:25 37
3 Jiangxi Lushan 22 10 5 7 25:19 35
4 Hangzhou Linping 22 8 10 4 25:28 34
5 Hubei Istar 22 9 7 6 29:23 34
6 Xiamen Feilu 22 7 8 7 29:28 29
7 Guangdong Mingtu 22 5 11 6 22:20 26
8 Ganzhou Ruishi 22 6 8 8 19:32 26
9 Guangzhou Dandelion 22 6 7 9 22:28 25
10 Chengdu Rongcheng B 22 5 7 10 18:24 22
11 Wenzhou Professional 22 4 10 8 15:23 22
12 Wuhan Three Towns B 22 4 7 11 20:26 19
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)