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Hubei Istar vs Jiangxi Lushan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

League Two Xinhua Road Sports Center, Wuhan
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Yu Jingcheng
60'
Sub
Liu Mingyu In: Pan Jinglue
Out: Liu Mingyu
61'
Sub
Lin F. In: Guo Yi
Out: Lin F.

AI Match Summary

Jiangxi Lushan in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jiangxi Lushan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Hubei Istar
15%
Draws
39%
Jiangxi Lushan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hubei Istar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Jiangxi Lushan have won more games recently than Hubei Istar.
  • Win probability leans Hubei Istar's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Hubei Istar Clean Sheet 68%
Jiangxi Lushan Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hubei Istar Jiangxi Lushan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 League Two
Hubei Istar vs Jiangxi Lushan
0:1
Apr 25, 2026 League Two
Jiangxi Lushan vs Hubei Istar
0:1
Jul 26, 2025 League Two
Hubei Istar vs Jiangxi Lushan
1:1
May 14, 2025 League Two
Jiangxi Lushan vs Hubei Istar
2:4
Aug 3, 2019 League Two
Jiangxi Lushan vs Hubei Istar
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hubei Istar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Jiangxi Lushan Compare

Top Goalscorer Pi Ziyang
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hubei Istar 59 / 100
Jiangxi Lushan 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hubei Istar Jiangxi Lushan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hubei Istar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hubei Istar scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Hubei Istar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Jiangxi Lushan's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hubei Istar VS Jiangxi Lushan
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hubei Istar

(Home)
06 Oct
Hubei Istar
2 : 0
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
19 Sept
Shanghai Second
0 : 0
Hubei Istar
12 Sept
Hubei Istar
1 : 2
Changchun Xidu
23 Aug
Shenzhen 2028
0 : 1
Hubei Istar
16 Aug
Hubei Istar
0 : 1
Hangzhou Linping
Page 1 of 6

Jiangxi Lushan

(Away)
07 Oct
Jiangxi Lushan
0 : 1
Dalian Kewei
18 Sept
Jiangxi Lushan
2 : 1
Shandong Taishan B
12 Sept
Shanghai Port B
1 : 0
Jiangxi Lushan
23 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng B
0 : 1
Jiangxi Lushan
16 Aug
Jiangxi Lushan
0 : 2
Xiamen Feilu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shandong Taishan B 22 12 5 5 33:21 41
2 Shanghai Port B 22 12 4 6 36:19 40
3 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 22 12 4 6 29:17 40
4 Dalian Kewei 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
5 Taian Tiankuang 22 8 7 7 25:23 31
6 Dalian Yingbo B 22 6 10 6 21:22 28
7 Nantong Haimen 22 5 11 6 25:23 26
8 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 22 4 14 4 13:16 26
9 Qingdao Red Lions 22 5 10 7 22:20 25
10 Changchun Xidu 22 3 11 8 15:28 20
11 Beijing Technology 22 3 7 12 21:42 16
12 Shanghai Second 22 2 9 11 22:39 15
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guizhou Guiyang 22 13 3 6 32:17 42
2 Shenzhen 2028 22 10 7 5 37:25 37
3 Jiangxi Lushan 22 10 5 7 25:19 35
4 Hangzhou Linping 22 8 10 4 25:28 34
5 Hubei Istar 22 9 7 6 29:23 34
6 Xiamen Feilu 22 7 8 7 29:28 29
7 Guangdong Mingtu 22 5 11 6 22:20 26
8 Ganzhou Ruishi 22 6 8 8 19:32 26
9 Guangzhou Dandelion 22 6 7 9 22:28 25
10 Chengdu Rongcheng B 22 5 7 10 18:24 22
11 Wenzhou Professional 22 4 10 8 15:23 22
12 Wuhan Three Towns B 22 4 7 11 20:26 19
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)