Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hubei Istar vs Jiangxi Lushan

China China

League Two Xinhua Road Sports Center
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hubei Istar host Jiangxi Lushan in the League Two. This one's hard to separate. Jiangxi Lushan have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Hubei Istar have conceded 1.63 and scored 1.63. Head-to-head, Hubei Istar have won 2 to Jiangxi Lushan's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 11, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.38, favoring Jiangxi Lushan. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Hubei Istar
33%
Draws
27%
Jiangxi Lushan
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Hubei Istar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Jiangxi Lushan have won more games recently than Hubei Istar.
  • Win probability leans Hubei Istar's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Hubei Istar Clean Sheet 68%
Jiangxi Lushan Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hubei Istar Jiangxi Lushan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 League Two
Hubei Istar vs Jiangxi Lushan
0:0
Apr 25, 2026 League Two
Jiangxi Lushan vs Hubei Istar
0:1
Jul 26, 2025 League Two
Hubei Istar vs Jiangxi Lushan
1:1
May 14, 2025 League Two
Jiangxi Lushan vs Hubei Istar
2:4
Aug 3, 2019 League Two
Jiangxi Lushan vs Hubei Istar
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hubei Istar 50 / 100
Jiangxi Lushan 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hubei Istar Jiangxi Lushan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HUB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hubei Istar scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Jiangxi Lushan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Hubei Istar stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hubei Istar VS Jiangxi Lushan
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shandong Taishan B16102423:1332
2Shanghai Port B1594227:1031
3Dalian Kewei1668213:826
4Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1573520:1424
5Taian Tiankuang1564516:1422
6Dalian Yingbo B1549214:1221
7Qingdao Red Lions1638514:1517
8Nantong Haimen1528516:1614
9Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic142845:1014
10Changchun Xidu152858:1814
11Shanghai Second1626815:2812
12Beijing Technology1416711:249
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guizhou Guiyang1591522:1328
2Shenzhen 20281676325:2027
3Hubei Istar1575323:1626
4Ganzhou Ruishi1666417:1524
5Xiamen Feilu1566324:1724
6Jiangxi Lushan1573519:1424
7Hangzhou Linping1648416:2320
8Guangzhou Dandelion1654717:2019
9Guangdong Mingtu1638517:1917
10Wenzhou Professional1536610:1715
11Chengdu Rongcheng B1635810:1814
12Wuhan Three Towns B151689:179