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Hudson Valley vs Morris Elite

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hudson Valley in this USL League Two matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hudson Valley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Hudson Valley
35%
Draws
25%
Morris Elite
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hudson Valley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Hudson Valley have won more games recently than Morris Elite.
  • Model gives Hudson Valley a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular USL League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Hudson Valley Clean Sheet 16%
Morris Elite Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hudson Valley Morris Elite
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.03 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.84 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 USL League Two
Hudson Valley vs Morris Elite
4:3
May 23, 2026 USL League Two
Morris Elite vs Hudson Valley
2:1
Jul 12, 2025 USL League Two
Morris Elite vs Hudson Valley
1:1
Jul 13, 2024 USL League Two
Hudson Valley vs Morris Elite
5:5
Jul 1, 2023 USL League Two
Hudson Valley vs Morris Elite
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hudson Valley 84 / 100
Morris Elite 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hudson Valley Morris Elite

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hudson Valley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hudson Valley scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Morris Elite let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Hudson Valley stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hudson Valley VS Morris Elite
2.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hudson Valley

(Home)
11 Jul
Hudson Valley
2 : 2
Cedar Stars Rush
07 Jul
Hudson Valley
0 : 5
Motown 2
02 Jul
Hudson Valley
1 : 1
Manhattan
27 Jun
Hudson Valley
4 : 3
Morris Elite
24 Jun
Westchester Flames
0 : 3
Hudson Valley
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Morris Elite

(Away)
11 Jul
Staten Island ASC
2 : 2
Morris Elite
08 Jul
Morris Elite
1 : 1
Westchester Flames
03 Jul
Motown 2
8 : 0
Morris Elite
27 Jun
Hudson Valley
4 : 3
Morris Elite
24 Jun
Morris Elite
2 : 0
New Jersey Copa
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