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Huercal-Overa CF vs EF Alhama - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 13 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

Huercal-Overa CF in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Huercal-Overa CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Huercal-Overa CF
15%
Draws
85%
EF Alhama
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EF Alhama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • EF Alhama average 1.25 goals a game right now, well clear of Huercal-Overa CF's 0.85.
  • Win probability leans EF Alhama's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Huercal-Overa CF have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Huercal-Overa CF Clean Sheet 20%
EF Alhama Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Huercal-Overa CF EF Alhama
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 6 6
Draws 7 10
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 0.85 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
EF Alhama vs Huercal-Overa CF
5:3
Nov 22, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Huercal-Overa CF vs EF Alhama
1:0
Mar 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Huercal-Overa CF vs EF Alhama
3:1
Oct 19, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
EF Alhama vs Huercal-Overa CF
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Huercal-Overa CF 16 / 100
EF Alhama 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Huercal-Overa CF EF Alhama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EF Alhama Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EF Alhama's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

EF Alhama's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Huercal-Overa CF scored in 59% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

Huercal-Overa CF VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Huercal-Overa CF

(Home)
01 May
Huercal-Overa CF
0 : 1
Mazarron FC
24 Apr
Bala Azul
1 : 0
Huercal-Overa CF
16 Apr
Huercal-Overa CF
0 : 1
Ciudad de Murcia
09 Apr
Yeclano
3 : 0
Huercal-Overa CF
03 Apr
Huercal-Overa CF
0 : 1
Bullense
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EF Alhama

(Away)
12 May
EF Alhama
1 : 3
Deportiva Minera
07 May
EDMF Churra
3 : 2
EF Alhama
01 May
EF Alhama
2 : 4
Ciudad de Murcia
24 Apr
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
3 : 1
EF Alhama
16 Apr
EF Alhama
5 : 3
Huercal-Overa CF
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Futbol Club Jumilla 34 22 6 6 60:29 72
2 Real Murcia B 34 19 12 3 56:20 69
3 Huercal-Overa CF 34 21 5 8 58:32 68
4 Aguilas FC 34 18 10 6 66:30 64
5 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 34 19 3 12 47:32 60
6 Yeclano 34 16 8 10 56:43 56
7 Deportiva Minera 34 13 11 10 43:42 50
8 La Union CF 34 14 5 15 44:46 47
9 Pinatar 34 12 9 13 42:44 45
10 Plus Ultra 34 12 7 15 50:59 43
11 Muleno CF 34 10 9 15 43:41 39
12 E.G. El Palmar 34 11 6 17 44:51 39
13 Caravaca 34 10 8 16 37:48 38
14 Club Edeco Fortuna 34 8 14 12 48:61 38
15 EF Alhama 34 8 11 15 39:56 35
16 Cartagena FC UCAM 34 9 8 17 36:58 35
17 Molina 34 6 11 17 32:55 29
18 Ciudad Cieza 34 4 5 25 23:77 17
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)