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Huetor Tajar vs River Melilla

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2016/2017 game between Huetor Tajar and River Melilla finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Huetor Tajar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Huetor Tajar
15%
Draws
0%
River Melilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Huetor Tajar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • River Melilla haven't matched Huetor Tajar's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Huetor Tajar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Huetor Tajar here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Huetor Tajar Clean Sheet 18%
River Melilla Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Huetor Tajar River Melilla
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 15 2
Draws 11 0
Losses 14 28
Goals Scored 1.43 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.15 3.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Tajar vs River Melilla
4:1
Oct 27, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
River Melilla vs Huetor Tajar
0:2
Apr 30, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Tajar vs River Melilla
4:2
Dec 8, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
River Melilla vs Huetor Tajar
0:2
Jan 30, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
River Melilla vs Huetor Tajar
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Huetor Tajar 85 / 100
River Melilla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Huetor Tajar River Melilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Huetor Tajar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

River Melilla has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

River Melilla lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Huetor Tajar's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Huetor Tajar VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Huetor Tajar

(Home)
10 May
Huetor Tajar
3 : 1
Melilla B
03 May
Martos
1 : 0
Huetor Tajar
26 Apr
Huetor Tajar
0 : 1
Mijas Las Lagunas
19 Apr
Marbelli
2 : 1
Huetor Tajar
11 Apr
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1
Mancha
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River Melilla

(Away)
19 May
UD San Pedro
3 : 2
River Melilla
11 May
River Melilla
0 : 3
Antequera
04 May
Torremolinos
5 : 0
River Melilla
01 May
River Melilla
2 : 5
Loja
27 Apr
River Melilla
1 : 5
Alhaurin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaga B 38 28 6 4 107:34 90
2 Antequera 38 23 6 9 70:38 75
3 Almeria B 38 21 8 9 61:36 71
4 Huetor Tajar 38 21 8 9 73:48 71
5 Motril 38 21 7 10 71:43 70
6 Loja 38 20 6 12 63:41 66
7 Rincon 38 16 9 13 49:52 57
8 El Palo 38 16 8 14 64:57 56
9 Martos 38 15 8 15 57:54 53
10 Guadix 38 14 9 15 47:51 51
11 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 38 14 6 18 41:51 48
12 Maracena 38 12 10 16 50:54 46
13 UD San Pedro 37 11 12 14 42:49 45
14 Atarfe Industrial 37 11 12 14 42:59 45
15 Velez 38 12 8 18 44:64 44
16 Huetor Vega 38 10 14 14 45:55 44
17 River Melilla 38 10 10 18 47:67 40
18 CD Alhaurino 38 7 10 21 37:67 31
19 Dos Hermanas 38 7 7 24 48:88 28
20 Alhaurin 38 3 10 25 39:89 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)