Sport Picks
Huetor Vega vs Arenas Armilla Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 
Match Events
44'
44'
Diaz Castillo J.
89'
89'
Bolivar M.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 game between Huetor Vega and Arenas Armilla finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Arenas Armilla
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Arenas Armilla carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Arenas Armilla a 45% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Huetor Vega Clean Sheet 21%
Arenas Armilla Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Huetor Vega | Arenas Armilla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.41 | 1.15 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla vs Huetor Vega
3:3
Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Arenas Armilla
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla vs Huetor Vega
2:1
Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Arenas Armilla
2:1
Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla vs Huetor Vega
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Huetor Vega Compare
Top Goalscorer Diaz Castillo J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7
Arenas Armilla Compare
Top Goalscorer Bolivar M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Huetor Vega 24 / 100
Arenas Armilla 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Huetor Vega Arenas Armilla
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arenas Armilla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Huetor Vega scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Arenas Armilla conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
Huetor Vega has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Huetor Vega VS Arenas Armilla
1.57 Goals Scored 1
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.25
71% Over 1.5 50%
71% Over 2.5 25%
43% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Huetor Vega
(Home) 04 Oct
Huetor Vega
3 : 0 Mancha
27 Sept
Arenas Armilla
3 : 3 Huetor Vega
20 Sept
Huetor Vega
1 : 3 Marbelli
12 Sept
Melilla
3 : 0 Huetor Vega
05 Sept
Huetor Vega
0 : 0 Motril
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Huetor Vega
3 : 0 Mancha
20 Sept
Huetor Vega
1 : 3 Marbelli
05 Sept
Huetor Vega
0 : 0 Motril
10 May
Huetor Vega
4 : 0 Martos
26 Apr
Huetor Vega
1 : 1 Marbelli
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Arenas Armilla
(Away) 04 Oct
Torre del Mar
0 : 1 Arenas Armilla
27 Sept
Arenas Armilla
3 : 3 Huetor Vega
20 Sept
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1 : 1 Arenas Armilla
13 Sept
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0 Mancha
06 Sept
Atletico de Marbella
0 : 2 Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Torre del Mar
0 : 1 Arenas Armilla
20 Sept
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1 : 1 Arenas Armilla
06 Sept
Atletico de Marbella
0 : 2 Arenas Armilla
20 Jun
Pena Deportiva
5 : 2 Arenas Armilla
07 Jun
Motril
1 : 1 Arenas Armilla
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 46:24 | 66 |
| 2 | Motril | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:29 | 65 |
| 3 | Torre del Mar | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37:26 | 55 |
| 4 | Arenas Armilla | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 38:29 | 54 |
| 5 | Churriana de la Vega | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 32:40 | 52 |
| 6 | Marbelli | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 36:28 | 51 |
| 7 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 39:38 | 50 |
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 39:37 | 49 |
| 9 | Atletico de Porcuna | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 41:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Huetor Vega | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:42 | 45 |
| 11 | Granada CF B | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 12 | CD Alhaurino | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 41:41 | 43 |
| 13 | Melilla B | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 30:32 | 39 |
| 14 | Mancha | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 30:38 | 37 |
| 15 | Huetor Tajar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 40:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Martos | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:48 | 37 |
| 17 | CD Torreperogil | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 24:45 | 33 |
| 18 | El Palo | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:53 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
