Sport Picks
Match Events
44'
44'
Diaz Castillo J.
89'
89'
Bolivar M.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 game between Huetor Vega and Arenas Armilla finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Huetor Vega
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Arenas Armilla carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Huetor Vega a 50% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Huetor Vega Clean Sheet 68%
Arenas Armilla Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Huetor Vega | Arenas Armilla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.57 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.43 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Arenas Armilla
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla vs Huetor Vega
2:1
Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Arenas Armilla
2:1
Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla vs Huetor Vega
1:1
May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Arenas Armilla vs Huetor Vega
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Huetor Vega Compare
Top Goalscorer Diaz Castillo J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.79
Arenas Armilla Compare
Top Goalscorer Bolivar M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Huetor Vega 59 / 100
Arenas Armilla 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Huetor Vega Arenas Armilla
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick HUE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Huetor Vega's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Arenas Armilla has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Huetor Vega has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Huetor Vega VS Arenas Armilla
1.57 Goals Scored 0.75
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Huetor Vega
(Home) 10 May
Huetor Vega
4 : 0 Martos
03 May
Mijas Las Lagunas
3 : 0 Huetor Vega
26 Apr
Huetor Vega
1 : 1 Marbelli
19 Apr
Mancha
2 : 1 Huetor Vega
12 Apr
Huetor Vega
1 : 1 Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Huetor Vega
4 : 0 Martos
26 Apr
Huetor Vega
1 : 1 Marbelli
12 Apr
Huetor Vega
1 : 1 Arenas Armilla
29 Mar
Huetor Vega
0 : 2 CD Torreperogil
15 Mar
Huetor Vega
1 : 1 Torre del Mar
Page 1 of 4
Arenas Armilla
(Away) 20 Jun
Pena Deportiva
5 : 2 Arenas Armilla
14 Jun
Arenas Armilla
1 : 1 Pena Deportiva
07 Jun
Motril
1 : 1 Arenas Armilla
31 May
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0 Motril
24 May
Torre del Mar
0 : 1 Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 6
20 Jun
Pena Deportiva
5 : 2 Arenas Armilla
07 Jun
Motril
1 : 1 Arenas Armilla
24 May
Torre del Mar
0 : 1 Arenas Armilla
10 May
UD San Pedro
2 : 1 Arenas Armilla
26 Apr
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1 : 0 Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 46:24 | 66 |
| 2 | Motril | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:29 | 65 |
| 3 | Torre del Mar | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37:26 | 55 |
| 4 | Arenas Armilla | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 38:29 | 54 |
| 5 | Churriana de la Vega | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 32:40 | 52 |
| 6 | Marbelli | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 36:28 | 51 |
| 7 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 39:38 | 50 |
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 39:37 | 49 |
| 9 | Atletico de Porcuna | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 41:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Huetor Vega | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:42 | 45 |
| 11 | Granada CF B | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 12 | CD Alhaurino | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 41:41 | 43 |
| 13 | Melilla B | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 30:32 | 39 |
| 14 | Mancha | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 30:38 | 37 |
| 15 | Huetor Tajar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 40:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Martos | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:48 | 37 |
| 17 | CD Torreperogil | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 24:45 | 33 |
| 18 | El Palo | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:53 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)