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Huetor Vega vs Guadix - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019 game between Huetor Vega and Guadix finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Huetor Vega.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Huetor Vega
30%
Draws
12%
Guadix
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Huetor Vega

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Huetor Vega carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Huetor Vega a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Huetor Vega Clean Sheet 20%
Guadix Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Huetor Vega Guadix
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 3
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.37 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Guadix
3:2
Sep 30, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs Huetor Vega
1:1
Jan 28, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs Huetor Vega
1:1
Sep 13, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Guadix
1:1
Jan 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Guadix
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Huetor Vega 85 / 100
Guadix 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Huetor Vega Guadix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Huetor Vega Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Guadix conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Huetor Vega scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Huetor Vega has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Huetor Vega VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Huetor Vega

(Home)
04 Oct
Huetor Vega
3 : 0
Mancha
27 Sept
Arenas Armilla
3 : 3
Huetor Vega
20 Sept
Huetor Vega
1 : 3
Marbelli
12 Sept
Melilla
3 : 0
Huetor Vega
05 Sept
Huetor Vega
0 : 0
Motril
Page 1 of 6

Guadix

(Away)
19 May
Antequera
6 : 1
Guadix
12 May
Guadix
0 : 3
Torremolinos
05 May
Alhaurin
5 : 1
Guadix
27 Apr
Guadix
2 : 2
El Palo
14 Apr
Motril
5 : 0
Guadix
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jaen 42 32 5 5 99:32 101
2 Linares 42 27 6 9 79:32 87
3 Antequera 42 24 10 8 90:35 82
4 El Palo 42 24 9 9 65:34 81
5 Velez 42 18 14 10 56:40 68
6 Motril 42 20 8 14 79:59 68
7 Loja 42 18 8 16 68:64 62
8 Mancha 42 16 12 14 59:52 60
9 Alhaurin 42 16 11 15 73:69 59
10 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 42 16 10 16 74:59 58
11 CD Torreperogil 42 16 10 16 43:52 58
12 Huetor Vega 42 16 9 17 56:65 57
13 Huetor Tajar 42 15 12 15 65:55 57
14 CP Almeria 42 15 12 15 53:57 57
15 CD Alhaurino 42 14 14 14 72:66 56
16 Torremolinos 42 15 8 19 57:65 53
17 Rincon 42 14 10 18 45:63 52
18 Martos 42 12 8 22 41:70 44
19 Atarfe Industrial 42 12 6 24 49:79 42
20 UD San Pedro 42 11 8 23 48:75 41
21 Guadix 42 8 11 23 44:95 35
22 River Melilla 42 2 1 39 28:125 4
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)