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Huetor Vega vs Rincon

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Medina C.
73' Event
Moreno B.
84' Event
Capitan P.

AI Match Summary

Rincon in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rincon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Huetor Vega
20%
Draws
51%
Rincon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rincon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Huetor Vega have won more games recently than Rincon.
  • Win probability leans Huetor Vega's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Rincon have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Huetor Vega Clean Sheet 20%
Rincon Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Huetor Vega Rincon
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.29 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Rincon
1:3
Dec 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Rincon vs Huetor Vega
3:2
Feb 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Rincon
1:0
Oct 12, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Rincon vs Huetor Vega
2:1
Feb 11, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Rincon vs Huetor Vega
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Huetor Vega Compare

Top Goalscorer Molina J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Rincon Compare

Top Goalscorer Medina C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moreno B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Huetor Vega 42 / 100
Rincon 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Huetor Vega Rincon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rincon has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Huetor Vega's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Huetor Vega remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Huetor Vega VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Huetor Vega

(Home)
27 Sept
Arenas Armilla
3 : 3
Huetor Vega
20 Sept
Huetor Vega
1 : 3
Marbelli
12 Sept
Melilla
3 : 0
Huetor Vega
05 Sept
Huetor Vega
0 : 0
Motril
10 May
Huetor Vega
4 : 0
Martos
Page 1 of 7

Rincon

(Away)
17 Aug
Rincon
0 : 1
El Palo
10 May
Rincon
1 : 0
Motril
05 May
Huetor Vega
1 : 3
Rincon
01 May
Rincon
0 : 3
Huetor Tajar
27 Apr
Arenas Armilla
1 : 2
Rincon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torremolinos 34 23 7 4 65:23 76
2 Jaen 34 22 7 5 66:28 73
3 Malaga B 34 19 10 5 54:20 67
4 Almeria B 34 19 10 5 75:28 67
5 Torre del Mar 34 18 8 8 44:30 62
6 Motril 34 13 11 10 36:23 50
7 Arenas Armilla 34 14 6 14 34:39 48
8 CP Almeria 34 11 13 10 39:37 46
9 Huetor Vega 34 13 7 14 40:41 46
10 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 11 10 13 46:46 43
11 Mancha 34 9 12 13 41:43 39
12 CD Torreperogil 34 9 11 14 32:41 38
13 Ejido 34 7 16 11 30:41 37
14 Huetor Tajar 34 7 14 13 25:39 35
15 Malaga Juniors 34 7 12 15 27:47 33
16 Maracena 34 6 13 15 29:50 31
17 Rincon 34 6 10 18 30:54 28
18 Atletico Melilla 34 0 7 27 18:101 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 (Play Offs)