Sport Picks
Huetor Vega vs Torre del Mar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 
Match Events
53'
53'
Pekes
65'
65'
Diaz Castillo J.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 game between Huetor Vega and Torre del Mar finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Huetor Vega
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Huetor Vega's 1.35 goals per match outpaces what Torre del Mar have produced (1.03).
- Model gives Huetor Vega a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Torre del Mar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Huetor Vega Clean Sheet 68%
Torre del Mar Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Huetor Vega | Torre del Mar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.35 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 0.78 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Torre del Mar
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs Huetor Vega
3:1
Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Vega vs Torre del Mar
0:1
Nov 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs Huetor Vega
1:0
Mar 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Torre del Mar vs Huetor Vega
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Huetor Vega Compare
Top Goalscorer Diaz Castillo J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Torre del Mar Compare
Top Goalscorer Pekes
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Huetor Vega 51 / 100
Torre del Mar 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Huetor Vega Torre del Mar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Huetor Vega found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).
Torre del Mar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Huetor Vega stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Huetor Vega VS Torre del Mar
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Huetor Vega
(Home) 04 Oct
Huetor Vega
3 : 0 Mancha
27 Sept
Arenas Armilla
3 : 3 Huetor Vega
20 Sept
Huetor Vega
1 : 3 Marbelli
12 Sept
Melilla
3 : 0 Huetor Vega
05 Sept
Huetor Vega
0 : 0 Motril
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04 Oct
Huetor Vega
3 : 0 Mancha
20 Sept
Huetor Vega
1 : 3 Marbelli
05 Sept
Huetor Vega
0 : 0 Motril
10 May
Huetor Vega
4 : 0 Martos
26 Apr
Huetor Vega
1 : 1 Marbelli
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Torre del Mar
(Away) 04 Oct
Torre del Mar
0 : 1 Arenas Armilla
27 Sept
Marbelli
1 : 0 Torre del Mar
20 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 2 Melilla
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1 Torre del Mar
06 Sept
Torre del Mar
1 : 0 Churriana de la Vega
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27 Sept
Marbelli
1 : 0 Torre del Mar
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1 Torre del Mar
17 May
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0 Torre del Mar
03 May
Atletico de Porcuna
1 : 0 Torre del Mar
12 Apr
UD San Pedro
0 : 0 Torre del Mar
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 46:24 | 66 |
| 2 | Motril | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:29 | 65 |
| 3 | Torre del Mar | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37:26 | 55 |
| 4 | Arenas Armilla | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 38:29 | 54 |
| 5 | Churriana de la Vega | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 32:40 | 52 |
| 6 | Marbelli | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 36:28 | 51 |
| 7 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 39:38 | 50 |
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 39:37 | 49 |
| 9 | Atletico de Porcuna | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 41:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Huetor Vega | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:42 | 45 |
| 11 | Granada CF B | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 12 | CD Alhaurino | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 41:41 | 43 |
| 13 | Melilla B | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 30:32 | 39 |
| 14 | Mancha | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 30:38 | 37 |
| 15 | Huetor Tajar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 40:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Martos | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:48 | 37 |
| 17 | CD Torreperogil | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 24:45 | 33 |
| 18 | El Palo | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:53 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
