Sport Picks

Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026

Sparta Nijkerk

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Huizen play Sparta Nijkerk in the Derde Divisie 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Huizen averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Sparta Nijkerk averaged 2.31 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Huizen won 0, Sparta Nijkerk won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 14, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Huizen and 2.13 for Sparta Nijkerk. This points to a Sparta Nijkerk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Huizen

17%

Draws

50%

Sparta Nijkerk

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sparta Nijkerk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Huizen picked up more points recently compared to Sparta Nijkerk.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 2.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Huizen Clean Sheet 10%

Sparta Nijkerk Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Huizen	Sparta Nijkerk
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	10	14
Draws	5	3
Losses	15	12
Goals Scored	1.6	2.31
Goals Conceded	1.93	1.41
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Derde Divisie

Huizen vs Sparta Nijkerk

Possession: 46% - 41% Cards: 2 - 3

0:3

Aug 16, 2025 Derde Divisie

Sparta Nijkerk vs Huizen

Possession: 50% - 52% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Jan 25, 2025 Derde Divisie

Huizen vs Sparta Nijkerk

Possession: 56% - 55% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Aug 31, 2024 Derde Divisie

Sparta Nijkerk vs Huizen

Possession: 42% - 41% Cards: 1 - 0

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Huizen 32 / 100

Sparta Nijkerk 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Huizen Sparta Nijkerk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sparta Nijkerk or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Huizen attacking → ← attacking Sparta Nijkerk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Huizen scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Sparta Nijkerk let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Huizen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sparta Nijkerk lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 45

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.75

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rohda Raalte	34	20	7	7	63:36	67
2	DVS '33 Ermelo	34	17	11	6	59:39	62
3	Sparta Nijkerk	34	19	4	11	84:43	61
4	ADO 20 Heemskerk	34	17	9	8	46:36	60
5	Genemuiden	34	17	5	12	61:52	56
6	Staphorst	34	17	3	14	63:53	54
7	Harkemase Boys	34	14	10	10	56:44	52
8	VV DOVO	34	15	7	12	53:43	52
9	Eemdijk	34	14	8	12	68:59	50
10	VV Scherpenzeel	34	14	7	13	59:49	49
11	VV Hoogeveen	34	14	6	14	54:64	48
12	Sportlust	34	14	5	15	54:52	47
13	USV Hercules	34	13	5	16	53:57	44
14	Excelsior 31	34	12	4	18	49:57	40
15	Huizen	34	11	7	16	51:63	40
16	TEC	34	12	4	18	48:64	40
17	Urk	34	8	7	19	61:97	31
18	HSC '21	34	1	5	28	35:109	8

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	VV Kloetinge	34	22	7	5	68:43	73
2	Lisse	34	20	8	6	67:33	68
3	VVSB	34	21	5	8	70:37	68
4	Rijnvogels	34	19	7	8	63:39	64
5	Gemert	34	17	10	7	71:46	61
6	Roosendaal	34	15	9	10	71:58	54
7	TOGB	34	15	8	11	64:61	53
8	VV Zwaluwen	34	15	6	13	61:48	51
9	Blauw Geel	34	14	6	14	53:51	48
10	VV Noordwijk	34	12	8	14	56:51	44
11	RKSV UDI 19	34	11	6	17	57:74	39
12	UNA	34	10	8	16	51:59	38
13	GOES	34	10	7	17	43:61	37
14	Groene Ster	34	10	6	18	45:64	36
15	SteDoCo	34	10	4	20	35:69	34
16	SVV Scheveningen	34	9	5	20	49:65	32
17	Meerssen	34	8	7	19	47:70	31
18	ASWH	34	6	7	21	45:87	25