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Humble Lions vs Mount Pleasant - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League 2024/2025 Effortville Community Centre, Clarendon
Humble Lions Logo

Humble Lions

0 - 4
FT
Mount Pleasant Logo

Mount Pleasant

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Walsh C.
(Penalty)
14'
Doxilly M.
40' Event
Walsh C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2024/2025 game between Humble Lions and Mount Pleasant finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mount Pleasant.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Humble Lions
20%
Draws
70%
Mount Pleasant
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mount Pleasant

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mount Pleasant come out ahead of Humble Lions on wins alone.
  • Mount Pleasant are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mount Pleasant here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Humble Lions Clean Sheet 10%
Mount Pleasant Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Humble Lions Mount Pleasant
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 18
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 0.97 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Premier League
Humble Lions vs Mount Pleasant
0:4
Feb 17, 2025 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Humble Lions
5:0
Dec 9, 2024 Premier League
Humble Lions vs Mount Pleasant
1:4
Mar 31, 2024 Premier League
Humble Lions vs Mount Pleasant
0:1
Dec 31, 2023 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Humble Lions
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Humble Lions Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Mount Pleasant Compare

Top Goalscorer Walsh C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Flinch A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Humble Lions 10 / 100
Mount Pleasant 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Humble Lions Mount Pleasant

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mount Pleasant Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Humble Lions scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Mount Pleasant let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Humble Lions went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Humble Lions VS Mount Pleasant
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Humble Lions

(Home)
04 Oct
Treasure Beach
1 : 1
Humble Lions
27 Sept
Portmore
4 : 1
Humble Lions
21 Sept
Humble Lions
0 : 5
Waterhouse
13 Sept
Tivoli
3 : 0
Humble Lions
04 May
Humble Lions
0 : 4
Mount Pleasant
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Mount Pleasant

(Away)
05 Oct
Mount Pleasant
1 : 1
Cavalier
27 Sept
FC Dunbeholden
0 : 2
Mount Pleasant
20 Sept
Mount Pleasant
0 : 1
Racing United
17 Sept
Mount Pleasant
1 : 0
Cavalier
13 Sept
Tru-Juice FC
4 : 0
Mount Pleasant
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mount Pleasant 39 29 6 4 94:21 93
2 Arnett Gardens 39 22 10 7 74:39 76
3 Montego Bay 39 21 12 6 62:28 75
4 Cavalier 39 18 15 6 65:43 69
5 Portmore 39 18 12 9 46:25 66
6 Tivoli 39 15 13 11 61:48 58
7 Waterhouse 39 16 10 13 44:42 58
8 Racing United 39 13 12 14 43:50 51
9 Chapelton 39 9 10 20 36:59 37
10 FC Dunbeholden 39 10 7 22 34:67 37
11 Harbour View 39 9 9 21 38:58 36
12 Molynes United 39 9 8 22 40:76 35
13 Humble Lions 39 7 12 20 34:65 33
14 Vere United 39 5 8 26 32:82 23
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Play Offs)