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Hummetroth vs Fernwald

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen
Hummetroth Logo

Hummetroth

2 - 2
FT
Fernwald Logo

Fernwald

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen game between Hummetroth and Fernwald finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Hummetroth
35%
Draws
28%
Fernwald
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hummetroth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Fernwald carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hummetroth are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Hummetroth Clean Sheet 10%
Fernwald Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hummetroth Fernwald
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 9
Draws 5 12
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.69 1.58
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Oberliga Hessen
Hummetroth vs Fernwald
2:2
Apr 18, 2026 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Hummetroth
3:0
Sep 27, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Hummetroth vs Fernwald
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hummetroth 38 / 100
Fernwald 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hummetroth Fernwald

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hummetroth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Hummetroth's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Fernwald let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Hummetroth went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hummetroth VS Fernwald
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hummetroth

(Home)
26 Sept
Hummetroth
2 : 2
Fernwald
19 Sept
VfB Marburg
1 : 2
Hummetroth
12 Sept
Hummetroth
6 : 1
Hanauer SC
09 Sept
Unter-Flockenbach
3 : 0
Hummetroth
06 Sept
Kassel 2
0 : 0
Hummetroth
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Fernwald

(Away)
26 Sept
Hummetroth
2 : 2
Fernwald
19 Sept
Fernwald
0 : 0
Eddersheim
12 Sept
Giessen
4 : 3
Fernwald
09 Sept
Pohlheim
1 : 1
Fernwald
05 Sept
VfB Marburg
0 : 2
Fernwald
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Unter-Flockenbach 11 8 1 2 34:20 25
2 Stadtallendorf 11 7 2 2 33:10 23
3 Eddersheim 11 6 4 1 26:18 22
4 Turk Gucu Friedberg 11 6 3 2 24:17 21
5 Hadamar 11 6 2 3 20:18 20
6 Hunfelder 11 6 1 4 21:16 19
7 VfB Marburg 11 5 2 4 15:14 17
8 Pohlheim 11 5 2 4 18:19 17
9 Darmstadt U21 11 4 3 4 24:17 15
10 Fernwald 11 3 6 2 18:16 15
11 CSC 03 Kassel 11 4 2 5 12:21 14
12 RW Walldorf 11 4 1 6 17:24 13
13 Baunatal 11 3 3 5 14:19 12
14 Alzenau 11 2 4 5 11:18 10
15 Hummetroth 11 2 3 6 16:24 9
16 Kassel 2 11 2 2 7 12:18 8
17 Hanauer SC 11 1 4 6 18:29 7
18 Giessen 11 1 3 7 14:29 6
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen (Relegation)