Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Humpolec vs Sparta Brno

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sparta Brno in this 4. liga - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sparta Brno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Humpolec
30%
Draws
41%
Sparta Brno
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sparta Brno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sparta Brno lately — more wins on the board than Humpolec.
  • Humpolec are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Humpolec Clean Sheet 14%
Sparta Brno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Humpolec Sparta Brno
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.55 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 4. liga - Group D
Humpolec vs Sparta Brno
2:3
Aug 23, 2025 4. liga - Group D
Sparta Brno vs Humpolec
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Humpolec 66 / 100
Sparta Brno 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Humpolec Sparta Brno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Humpolec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Humpolec's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sparta Brno has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Humpolec remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Humpolec VS Sparta Brno
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Humpolec

(Home)
22 Aug
FC Kurim
1 : 0
Humpolec
16 Aug
Humpolec
2 : 2
Bedrichov
12 Aug
Humpolec
0 : 2
Velka Bites
07 Aug
Velke Mezirici
1 : 1
Humpolec
26 Jul
Bedrichov
1 : 3
Humpolec
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Sparta Brno

(Away)
26 Aug
Sparta Brno
0 : 9
Ostrava
22 Aug
Sparta Brno
2 : 0
Chotebor
16 Aug
Zdar nad Sazavou
1 : 1
Sparta Brno
12 Aug
Sparta Brno
2 : 0
Lanzhot
08 Aug
Sparta Brno
1 : 2
FS Trebic
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