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Humpolec vs Velka Bites - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group D
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Humpolec host Velka Bites in the 4. liga - Group D. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Humpolec have averaged 1.48 scored and 1.76 conceded recently, against Velka Bites's 2 scored and 1.31 conceded. Head-to-head, Humpolec have won 2 to Velka Bites's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 12, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.25, favoring Velka Bites. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Humpolec
30%
Draws
43%
Velka Bites
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Velka Bites

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Velka Bites have won more games recently than Humpolec.
  • Model gives Velka Bites a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 4. liga - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Humpolec Clean Sheet 19%
Velka Bites Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Humpolec Velka Bites
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 18
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.48 2
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 MOL Cup
Humpolec vs Velka Bites
0:2
Jun 13, 2026 4. liga - Group D
Humpolec vs Velka Bites
3:2
Nov 8, 2025 4. liga - Group D
Velka Bites vs Humpolec
1:3
May 3, 2025 4. liga - Group D
Humpolec vs Velka Bites
2:4
Sep 28, 2024 4. liga - Group D
Velka Bites vs Humpolec
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Humpolec 24 / 100
Velka Bites 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Humpolec Velka Bites

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Velka Bites Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Humpolec scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Velka Bites conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Humpolec went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Humpolec VS Velka Bites
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Humpolec

(Home)
04 Oct
Znojmo
0 : 2
Humpolec
27 Sept
Humpolec
0 : 0
Chotebor
20 Sept
Zdar nad Sazavou
1 : 2
Humpolec
13 Sept
Humpolec
1 : 2
FS Trebic
05 Sept
Sparta Brno
1 : 0
Humpolec
Page 1 of 6

Velka Bites

(Away)
04 Oct
Velka Bites
6 : 3
Bedrichov
27 Sept
Znojmo
1 : 1
Velka Bites
20 Sept
Velka Bites
2 : 0
Velke Mezirici
12 Sept
Chotebor
0 : 0
Velka Bites
05 Sept
Velka Bites
2 : 0
Pelhrimov
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Velka Bites 9 5 3 1 15:10 18
2 Bohunice 9 5 2 2 21:9 17
3 FC Kurim 9 5 1 3 25:13 16
4 Slovan Havlickuv Brod 9 5 1 3 16:11 16
5 Sparta Brno 9 5 1 3 14:13 16
6 FS Trebic 9 5 1 3 11:15 16
7 Znojmo 9 4 3 2 17:10 15
8 Pelhrimov 9 4 2 3 21:13 14
9 Tasovice 9 3 5 1 14:9 14
10 Bystrc 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
11 Humpolec 9 2 3 4 8:10 9
12 Chotebor 9 2 3 4 9:17 9
13 Velke Mezirici 9 2 3 4 10:20 9
14 Zdar nad Sazavou 9 2 2 5 14:16 8
15 Zdirec nad Doubravou 9 2 2 5 14:21 8
16 Bedrichov 9 0 2 7 9:30 2
Promotion - 3. MSFL 2027/2028 (Main)