Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hungary U21 vs Croatia U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion, Budapest
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Grgic L.
Assist: Jagusic A.
38'
Soticek M.
46'
Sub
Horvath K. In: Atrok Z.
Out: Horvath K.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 game between Hungary U21 and Croatia U21 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Croatia U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Hungary U21
30%
Draws
51%
Croatia U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Croatia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Hungary U21 haven't matched Croatia U21's recent run of results.
  • Croatia U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Croatia U21 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Hungary U21 Clean Sheet 11%
Croatia U21 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hungary U21 Croatia U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 16
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.19 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 Euro U21
Hungary U21 vs Croatia U21
0:2
Oct 11, 2019 Friendly International
Hungary U21 vs Croatia U21
1:4
Mar 28, 2011 Friendly International
Croatia U21 vs Hungary U21
3:2
Oct 10, 2005 Euro U21
Hungary U21 vs Croatia U21
2:2
Sep 2, 2004 Euro U21
Croatia U21 vs Hungary U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hungary U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Croatia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Grgic L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tunjic L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hungary U21 10 / 100
Croatia U21 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hungary U21 Croatia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Croatia U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Hungary U21 scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Croatia U21 let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Hungary U21 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hungary U21 VS Croatia U21
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hungary U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Hungary U21
1 : 2
Ukraine U21
26 Mar
Hungary U21
0 : 1
Israel U21
18 Nov
Hungary U21
0 : 2
Croatia U21
13 Nov
Hungary U21
3 : 0
Faroe Islands U21
14 Oct
Hungary U21
1 : 1
Turkey U21
Page 1 of 7

Croatia U21

(Away)
06 Jun
Croatia U21
2 : 2
Ireland U21
03 Jun
Croatia U21
2 : 0
Qatar U23
30 May
Croatia U21
1 : 1
Greece U21
31 Mar
Croatia U21
3 : 0
Turkey U21
18 Nov
Hungary U21
0 : 2
Croatia U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 7 7 0 0 26:2 21
2 Finland U21 7 5 1 1 26:2 16
3 Romania U21 7 4 1 2 8:4 13
4 Kosovo U21 7 2 2 3 12:6 8
5 Cyprus U21 7 1 0 6 5:24 3
6 San Marino U21 7 0 0 7 0:39 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 7 6 1 0 28:0 19
2 Czech Republic U21 7 4 2 1 15:3 14
3 Scotland U21 8 3 2 3 18:10 11
4 Bulgaria U21 7 3 2 2 7:6 11
5 Azerbaijan U21 7 1 3 3 5:18 6
6 Gibraltar U21 8 0 0 8 1:37 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 6 5 1 0 21:4 16
2 Switzerland U21 7 4 2 1 10:5 14
3 Iceland U21 7 3 2 2 14:9 11
4 Faroe Islands U21 7 3 0 4 6:13 9
5 Luxembourg U21 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
6 Estonia U21 7 0 2 5 8:21 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 7 6 1 0 18:2 19
2 Slovakia U21 7 5 1 1 15:10 16
3 Ireland U21 7 3 2 2 7:10 11
4 Andorra U21 8 2 1 5 6:10 7
5 Moldova U21 8 1 2 5 9:17 5
6 Kazakhstan U21 7 1 1 5 4:10 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U21 8 8 0 0 23:2 24
2 Italy U21 8 7 0 1 25:5 21
3 Montenegro U21 8 3 1 4 11:14 10
4 Sweden U21 8 3 1 4 10:19 10
5 North Macedonia U21 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
6 Armenia U21 8 0 0 8 4:23 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 7 6 0 1 22:4 18
2 Greece U21 7 6 0 1 21:4 18
3 Northern Ireland U21 7 3 1 3 8:11 10
4 Georgia U21 7 2 3 2 12:9 9
5 Latvia U21 7 1 2 4 4:12 5
6 Malta U21 7 0 0 7 1:28 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 5 4 0 1 12:4 12
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 6 1 4 1 2:1 7
3 Israel U21 6 1 4 1 6:7 7
4 Netherlands U21 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
5 Slovenia U21 6 1 2 3 3:10 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 5 4 1 0 11:1 13
2 Turkey U21 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
3 Ukraine U21 6 2 2 2 10:7 8
4 Hungary U21 5 0 3 2 6:9 3
5 Lithuania U21 6 0 2 4 3:14 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 5 3 1 1 11:2 10
2 Austria U21 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
3 Denmark U21 5 3 1 1 12:5 10
4 Wales U21 6 2 0 4 6:20 6
5 Belarus U21 6 1 1 4 7:9 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)