Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hungary vs Finland

World World

Friendly International Puskas Arena, Budapest
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Osvath A.
25' Event
Varga B.
Assist: Szoboszlai D.
35'
Suhonen A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Hungary and Finland finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hungary.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Hungary
15%
Draws
32%
Finland
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hungary

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hungary come out ahead of Finland on wins alone.
  • Hungary are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Hungary here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Hungary Clean Sheet 68%
Finland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hungary Finland
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 2
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.29 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Friendly International
Hungary vs Finland
2:1
Nov 18, 2018 UEFA Nations League
Hungary vs Finland
2:0
Sep 8, 2018 UEFA Nations League
Finland vs Hungary
1:0
Jun 13, 2015 Euro
Finland vs Hungary
0:1
Nov 14, 2014 Euro
Hungary vs Finland
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hungary Compare

Top Goalscorer Varga B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Finland Compare

Top Goalscorer Miettinen T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hungary 95 / 100
Finland 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hungary Finland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hungary Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finland has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Hungary's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Hungary went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hungary VS Finland
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hungary

(Home)
09 Jun
Hungary
3 : 1
Kazakhstan
05 Jun
Hungary
2 : 1
Finland
31 Mar
Hungary
0 : 0
Greece
28 Mar
Hungary
1 : 0
Slovenia
16 Nov
Hungary
2 : 3
Ireland
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Finland

(Away)
05 Jun
Hungary
2 : 1
Finland
31 May
Germany
4 : 0
Finland
30 Mar
Cape Verde
2 : 1
Finland
27 Mar
New Zealand
0 : 2
Finland
17 Nov
Finland
4 : 0
Andorra
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