Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hungary vs Slovenia

World World

Friendly International Puskas Arena, Budapest
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Sturm D.
38'
Gnezda Cerin A.
46'
Sub
Bolla B. In: Osvath A.
Out: Bolla B.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Hungary and Slovenia finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hungary.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Hungary
30%
Draws
23%
Slovenia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hungary

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Hungary carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Hungary's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Hungary Clean Sheet 68%
Slovenia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hungary Slovenia
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 12
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.18 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Friendly International
Hungary vs Slovenia
1:0
Mar 26, 2008 Friendly International
Hungary vs Slovenia
0:1
Aug 20, 2003 Friendly International
Slovenia vs Hungary
2:1
Aug 19, 1998 Friendly International
Hungary vs Slovenia
2:1
Apr 6, 1994 Friendly International
Hungary vs Slovenia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hungary Compare

Top Goalscorer Schon S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Slovenia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hungary 50 / 100
Slovenia 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hungary Slovenia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hungary Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hungary found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Slovenia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Hungary has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hungary VS Slovenia
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hungary

(Home)
25 Sept
Hungary
0 : 1
Ukraine
09 Jun
Hungary
3 : 1
Kazakhstan
05 Jun
Hungary
2 : 1
Finland
31 Mar
Hungary
0 : 0
Greece
28 Mar
Hungary
1 : 0
Slovenia
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Slovenia

(Away)
07 Jun
Croatia
2 : 1
Slovenia
04 Jun
Slovenia
1 : 1
Cyprus
31 Mar
Montenegro
2 : 3
Slovenia
28 Mar
Hungary
1 : 0
Slovenia
18 Nov
Sweden
1 : 1
Slovenia
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