Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hungary vs Sweden

World World

Friendly International 2025 Puskas Arena, Budapest
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Ayari Y.
40'
Sema K.
48'
Nagy Z.

AI Match Summary

Sweden in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sweden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Hungary
30%
Draws
23%
Sweden
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hungary

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sweden lately — more wins on the board than Hungary.
  • Hungary are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Sweden here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Hungary Clean Sheet 68%
Sweden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hungary Sweden
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.22 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2025 Friendly International
Hungary vs Sweden
0:2
Nov 15, 2016 Friendly International
Hungary vs Sweden
0:2
Sep 2, 2011 Euro
Hungary vs Sweden
2:1
Sep 3, 2010 Euro
Sweden vs Hungary
2:0
Sep 5, 2009 World Championship
Hungary vs Sweden
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hungary Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sweden Compare

Top Goalscorer Nygren B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ayari Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hungary 95 / 100
Sweden 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hungary Sweden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hungary Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sweden let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Hungary scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Hungary remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hungary VS Sweden
1 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Hungary

(Home)
09 Jun
Hungary
3 : 1
Kazakhstan
05 Jun
Hungary
2 : 1
Finland
31 Mar
Hungary
0 : 0
Greece
28 Mar
Hungary
1 : 0
Slovenia
16 Nov
Hungary
2 : 3
Ireland
Page 1 of 6

Sweden

(Away)
30 Jun
France
3 : 0
Sweden
25 Jun
Japan
1 : 1
Sweden
20 Jun
Netherlands
5 : 1
Sweden
15 Jun
Sweden
5 : 1
Tunisia
04 Jun
Sweden
2 : 2
Greece
Page 1 of 6