Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hungary W vs Serbia W

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Alcufer Stadion, Gyor
Our Tip

Match Events

50'
Milivojevic V.
53'
Filipovic T.
56'
Sub
Blagojevic D. In: Ilic M.
Out: Blagojevic D.

AI Match Summary

Serbia W in this UEFA Nations League Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Serbia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Hungary W
15%
Draws
5%
Serbia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hungary W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Hungary W at 1.79 per game, Serbia W at 1.24.
  • Hungary W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Serbia W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Hungary W Clean Sheet 68%
Serbia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hungary W Serbia W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.79 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Serbia W vs Hungary W
1:0
Apr 4, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Hungary W vs Serbia W
0:1
Jun 14, 2021 Friendly International Women
Hungary W vs Serbia W
2:3
Jun 10, 2021 Friendly International Women
Hungary W vs Serbia W
4:0
Jul 28, 2017 Friendly International Women
Hungary W vs Serbia W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hungary W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Serbia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Matejic N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hungary W 95 / 100
Serbia W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hungary W Serbia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hungary W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hungary W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Hungary W's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Serbia W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Hungary W VS Serbia W
2.75 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hungary W

(Home)
09 Jun
Hungary W
6 : 1
Andorra W
05 Jun
Azerbaijan W
1 : 2
Hungary W
18 Apr
Hungary W
7 : 0
North Macedonia W
14 Apr
North Macedonia W
0 : 5
Hungary W
07 Mar
Hungary W
1 : 0
Azerbaijan W
Page 1 of 6

Serbia W

(Away)
09 Jun
Serbia W
1 : 4
Denmark W
05 Jun
Italy W
3 : 0
Serbia W
18 Apr
Sweden W
1 : 0
Serbia W
14 Apr
Serbia W
0 : 6
Italy W
07 Mar
Serbia W
0 : 0
Sweden W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland W 6 5 1 0 16:2 16
2 Northern Ireland W 6 2 2 2 6:10 8
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina W 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
4 Romania W 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovenia W 6 5 0 1 12:2 15
2 Ireland W 6 5 0 1 10:6 15
3 Turkey W 6 2 0 4 3:7 6
4 Greece W 6 0 0 6 2:12 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Serbia W 6 4 2 0 7:1 14
2 Finland W 6 3 2 1 8:2 11
3 Hungary W 6 1 1 4 2:6 4
4 Belarus W 6 0 3 3 0:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine W 6 4 1 1 8:6 13
2 Czech Republic W 6 4 1 1 17:4 13
3 Albania W 6 2 0 4 10:12 6
4 Croatia W 6 1 0 5 4:17 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)