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Hungerford vs Uxbridge

England England

Southern League Premier South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Moore G.
25' Event
Moore G.
43' Event
Fearn C.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 game between Hungerford and Uxbridge finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uxbridge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Hungerford
20%
Draws
47%
Uxbridge
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uxbridge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Uxbridge come out ahead of Hungerford on wins alone.
  • Model gives Hungerford a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Hungerford Clean Sheet 14%
Uxbridge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hungerford Uxbridge
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 8 16
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 3
Goals Scored 1.16 2.26
Goals Conceded 2.06 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Hungerford vs Uxbridge
0:4
Oct 14, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Uxbridge vs Hungerford
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hungerford Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Uxbridge Compare

Top Goalscorer Moore G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fearn C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hungerford 35 / 100
Uxbridge 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hungerford Uxbridge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Hungerford found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Uxbridge conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

Solid form: Hungerford remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hungerford VS Uxbridge
2 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hungerford

(Home)
19 Sept
Slimbridge
1 : 3
Hungerford
05 Sept
Wells City
0 : 4
Hungerford
29 Aug
Portland United
3 : 1
Hungerford
25 Apr
Chertsey Town
1 : 0
Hungerford
18 Apr
Hungerford
0 : 0
Dorchester
Page 1 of 7

Uxbridge

(Away)
29 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 1
Basingstoke
26 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 1
Lewes
22 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 2
Uxbridge
19 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 2
Farnborough
15 Sept
Berkhamsted Town
1 : 0
Uxbridge
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Walton & Hersham 42 29 5 8 94:42 92
2 Farnham 42 25 9 8 90:50 84
3 Gloucester City 42 25 7 10 93:51 82
4 Poole Town 42 21 12 9 80:50 75
5 Berkhamsted Town 42 21 9 12 62:50 72
6 Sholing 42 18 15 9 74:53 69
7 Chertsey Town 42 19 10 13 64:55 67
8 Gosport Borough 42 19 6 17 74:75 63
9 Uxbridge 42 15 14 13 74:70 59
10 Havant & Waterlooville 42 17 7 18 78:70 58
11 Plymouth Parkway 42 16 8 18 64:79 56
12 Bracknell Town 42 15 10 17 70:71 55
13 Yate 42 14 10 18 57:62 52
14 Hanwell Town 42 14 10 18 57:63 52
15 Wimborne 42 12 15 15 63:62 51
16 Taunton Town 42 14 9 19 65:70 51
17 Basingstoke 42 14 9 19 61:71 51
18 Evesham 42 11 14 17 51:62 47
19 Weymouth 42 13 8 21 53:71 47
20 Dorchester 42 9 13 20 48:79 40
21 Hungerford 42 9 11 22 47:87 38
22 Tiverton 42 5 3 34 39:115 18
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)