Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hungry Lions vs Venda

South Africa South Africa

Nedbank Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Mutsivhuli R.
61' Event
Angoume Y.
(Penalty)
72' Event
Angoume Y.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Hungry Lions
35%
Draws
9%
Venda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hungry Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hungry Lions lately — more wins on the board than Venda.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Hungry Lions taking it.
  • Hungry Lions have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hungry Lions, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hungry Lions here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Hungry Lions Clean Sheet 20%
Venda Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hungry Lions Venda
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 7
Draws 11 8
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 1.43 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Hungry Lions vs Venda
3:1
Dec 3, 2025 Nedbank Cup
Hungry Lions vs Venda
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Venda vs Hungry Lions
1:3
Apr 12, 2025 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Venda vs Hungry Lions
0:0
Sep 28, 2024 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Hungry Lions vs Venda
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hungry Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Angoume Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Venda Compare

Top Goalscorer Mutsivhuli R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hungry Lions 85 / 100
Venda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hungry Lions Venda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hungry Lions Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hungry Lions scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Venda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Hungry Lions remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hungry Lions VS Venda
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hungry Lions

(Home)
20 Sept
Magesi
1 : 1
Hungry Lions
12 Sept
Hungry Lions
2 : 0
The Bees
06 Sept
Cape Town City
2 : 1
Hungry Lions
28 Aug
Orbit College
0 : 0
Hungry Lions
22 Aug
Hungry Lions
2 : 2
Gomora United
Page 1 of 6

Venda

(Away)
18 Sept
Real Native
2 : 0
Venda
12 Sept
Venda
2 : 3
Upington City
05 Sept
Venda
0 : 2
Pretoria U.
29 Aug
Gomora United
1 : 0
Venda
21 Aug
Venda
1 : 1
Lerumo Lions
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
TS Galaxy -
TBD -
TBD -
Marumo Gallants -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
TBD -
The Bees 0
Gomora United 1
Cardinals -
TBD -
TBD -
Jacksa Spears -
Vasco Da Gama -
TBD -
TBD -
Luthuli Brigades -
Hungry Lions 2
Venda 1
Leicesterford City 1
Pretoria U. 2
Kruger United 0
Highbury 3
TBD -
Sekhukhune -
SSU M-17 -
TBD -
Milford 2
Baroka 0
Mkhambathi -
TBD -
Lerumo Lions 1
Midlands Wanderers 0
Golden Arrows -
TBD -
TBD -
Orbit College -
Stellenbosch FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Cape Town City 0
Upington City 1
TBD -
Magesi -
Durban City -
TBD -
TBD -
Chippa Utd. -
Polokwane City -
TBD -
TBD -
AmaZulu -
Siwelele -
TBD -
TBD -
Richards Bay -
Army Rocket -
TBD -
Black Leopards 0
Real Native 1
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila -
TBD -
TBD -
Orlando Pirates -
1/16-finals
TS Galaxy 1
Marumo Gallants 0
Mamelodi Sundowns 2
Gomora United 1
Cardinals 2
Jacksa Spears 4
Vasco Da Gama 4
Luthuli Brigades 1
Hungry Lions 1
Pretoria U. 2
Highbury 0
Sekhukhune 1
SSU M-17 1
Milford 2
Mkhambathi 2
Lerumo Lions 1
Golden Arrows 3
Orbit College 0
Stellenbosch FC 2
Kaizer Chiefs 1
Upington City 1
Magesi 0
Durban City 1
Chippa Utd. 0
Polokwane City 1
AmaZulu 2
Siwelele 3
Richards Bay 4
Army Rocket 0
Real Native 3
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila 1
Orlando Pirates 4
1/8-finals
TS Galaxy 2
Mamelodi Sundowns 0
Jacksa Spears 1
Vasco Da Gama 0
Pretoria U. 0
Sekhukhune 1
Milford 3
Mkhambathi 0
Golden Arrows 1
Stellenbosch FC 0
Upington City 0
Durban City 1
AmaZulu 1
Richards Bay 0
Real Native 1
Orlando Pirates 0
Quarter-finals
TS Galaxy 2
Jacksa Spears 0
Sekhukhune 2
Milford 3
Golden Arrows 1
Durban City 2
AmaZulu 1
Real Native 2
Semi-finals
TS Galaxy 2
Milford 1
Durban City 1
Real Native 0
Final
TS Galaxy 1
Durban City 2