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Huracan Las Heras vs Gutierrez Mendoza

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal 2025 Estadio General San Martin
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Huracan Las Heras play Gutierrez Mendoza in the Torneo Federal 2025. Huracan Las Heras are favorites here. Recently, Huracan Las Heras averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Gutierrez Mendoza averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. In past meetings, Huracan Las Heras won 3, Gutierrez Mendoza won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 20, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.21 for Huracan Las Heras and 0.60 for Gutierrez Mendoza. This points to a Huracan Las Heras double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Huracan Las Heras
15%
Draws
16%
Gutierrez Mendoza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Huracan Las Heras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Huracan Las Heras picked up more points recently compared to Gutierrez Mendoza.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.21 vs 0.60 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
Huracan Las Heras Clean Sheet 29%
Gutierrez Mendoza Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 51%
Second Half Goal 54%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Huracan Las Heras Gutierrez Mendoza
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 2
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 24
Goals Scored 0.8 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2025 Torneo Federal
Huracan Las Heras vs Gutierrez Mendoza
1:0
Jun 16, 2025 Torneo Federal
Huracan Las Heras vs Gutierrez Mendoza
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 Torneo Federal
Gutierrez Mendoza vs Huracan Las Heras
0:1
May 26, 2024 Torneo Federal
Huracan Las Heras vs Gutierrez Mendoza
0:1
Apr 1, 2024 Torneo Federal
Gutierrez Mendoza vs Huracan Las Heras
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Huracan Las Heras Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucero J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Gutierrez Mendoza Compare

Avg xG / game 0.3
Avg xA / game 0.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Huracan Las Heras 68 / 100
Gutierrez Mendoza 17 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Huracan Las Heras Gutierrez Mendoza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Huracan Las Heras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Huracan Las Heras & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.2%
1.64
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.5%
3.23
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Huracan Las Heras attacking → ← attacking Gutierrez Mendoza

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Huracan Las Heras scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Gutierrez Mendoza let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Huracan Las Heras went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Gutierrez Mendoza lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 10
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.33
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.67

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Guillermo Brown962115:620
2Germinal95139:716
3San Martin Mendoza943210:615
4Sol de Mayo950412:1515
5Juventud U.U.93518:414
6Circulo Deportivo93427:413
7Huracan Las Heras932410:1111
8Santamarina93249:1111
9Sportivo Estudiantes92347:89
10Gutierrez Mendoza90093:180
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Boca Unidos960315:618
2Bartolome Mitre951311:716
3Sarmiento Resistencia951313:1216
4Sportivo Las Parejas951311:1016
5El Linqueno942311:614
6Sol de America941411:813
7Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo933313:1312
8Gimnasia E.R.93249:1211
9Ben Hur931510:1610
10Crucero del Norte90278:222