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Huracan Melilla vs Atletico de Porcuna

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Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2022/2023 game between Huracan Melilla and Atletico de Porcuna finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico de Porcuna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Huracan Melilla
6%
Draws
90%
Atletico de Porcuna
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Atletico de Porcuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Atletico de Porcuna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Atletico de Porcuna's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Huracan Melilla Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico de Porcuna Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Huracan Melilla Atletico de Porcuna
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 1 16
Draws 1 4
Losses 26 14
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 0.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huracan Melilla vs Atletico de Porcuna
1:2
Sep 24, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico de Porcuna vs Huracan Melilla
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Huracan Melilla 10 / 100
Atletico de Porcuna 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Huracan Melilla Atletico de Porcuna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Atletico de Porcuna has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Huracan Melilla's goal record stands at 25% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Atletico de Porcuna let in goals in 59% of their last 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Atletico de Porcuna
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marbella30233467:1772
2Jaen30215459:1268
3El Palo30196543:2063
4Torre del Mar30174953:3155
5Malaga B301112745:2745
6Huetor Vega301112742:3545
7Motril301251337:4141
8Ciudad de Torredonjimeno301181145:4241
9Almeria B301251340:3441
10Arenas Armilla301161336:3639
11CD Torreperogil301081240:4538
12Huetor Tajar301071352:4437
13Maracena30891334:4833
14Malaga City30671722:4825
15Atletico de Porcuna30632130:5421
16Huracan Melilla3012278:1195
17CD Estepona00000:00