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Huracan Melilla vs Marbella

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marbella in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marbella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Huracan Melilla
20%
Draws
80%
Marbella
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marbella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Huracan Melilla haven't matched Marbella's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Marbella a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Huracan Melilla Clean Sheet 19%
Marbella Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Huracan Melilla Marbella
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 1 9
Draws 1 4
Losses 26 17
Goals Scored 0.29 1.47
Goals Conceded 4.11 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Marbella vs Huracan Melilla
10:0
Dec 8, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huracan Melilla vs Marbella
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Huracan Melilla 10 / 100
Marbella 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Huracan Melilla Marbella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marbella Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Marbella conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Huracan Melilla scored in 25% of their last 28 outings.

Away concern: Marbella has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Marbella
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Huracan Melilla

(Home)
23 Apr
Torre del Mar
8 : 0
Huracan Melilla
15 Apr
Huracan Melilla
2 : 5
Motril
01 Apr
Marbella
10 : 0
Huracan Melilla
26 Mar
Huracan Melilla
0 : 6
Jaen
18 Mar
Huetor Tajar
7 : 0
Huracan Melilla
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Marbella

(Away)
27 Sept
Puente Genil
0 : 0
Marbella
20 Sept
Marbella
4 : 1
Atletico Central
13 Sept
Sevilla B
3 : 0
Marbella
06 Sept
Marbella
2 : 2
Sanluqueno
29 Aug
Torre del Mar
4 : 0
Marbella
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marbella 30 23 3 4 67:17 72
2 Jaen 30 21 5 4 59:12 68
3 El Palo 30 19 6 5 43:20 63
4 Torre del Mar 30 17 4 9 53:31 55
5 Malaga B 30 11 12 7 45:27 45
6 Huetor Vega 30 11 12 7 42:35 45
7 Motril 30 12 5 13 37:41 41
8 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 30 11 8 11 45:42 41
9 Almeria B 30 12 5 13 40:34 41
10 Arenas Armilla 30 11 6 13 36:36 39
11 CD Torreperogil 30 10 8 12 40:45 38
12 Huetor Tajar 30 10 7 13 52:44 37
13 Maracena 30 8 9 13 34:48 33
14 Malaga Juniors 30 6 7 17 22:48 25
15 Atletico de Porcuna 30 6 3 21 30:54 21
16 Huracan Melilla 30 1 2 27 8:119 5
17 CD Estepona 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2022/2023 (Play Offs)