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Huragan Morag vs Kutno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Roseboom Y.
80' Event
Kralkowski A.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2020/2021 game between Huragan Morag and Kutno finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Huragan Morag
15%
Draws
39%
Kutno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Huragan Morag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kutno come out ahead of Huragan Morag on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Huragan Morag taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Huragan Morag Clean Sheet 20%
Kutno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Huragan Morag Kutno
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.27 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.37 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Huragan Morag vs Kutno
1:1
Mar 20, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Kutno vs Huragan Morag
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Huragan Morag Compare

Top Goalscorer Roseboom Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Kutno Compare

Top Goalscorer Kralkowski A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Huragan Morag 85 / 100
Kutno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Huragan Morag Kutno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Huragan Morag Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kutno let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Huragan Morag scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Huragan Morag remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kutno
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Huragan Morag

(Home)
26 Feb
Powisle Dzierzgon
3 : 5
Huragan Morag
29 Jan
DKS Dobre Miasto
3 : 2
Huragan Morag
22 Jan
Zatoka Braniewo
2 : 2
Huragan Morag
18 Jun
Huragan Morag
6 : 4
Wysokie Mazowieckie
12 Jun
Olimpia Zambrow
2 : 1
Huragan Morag
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Kutno

(Away)
01 Aug
Wisla Dobrzyn
8 : 4
Kutno
25 Jul
Pelikan
1 : 3
Kutno
22 Feb
Kutno
1 : 6
Tluchowo
25 Jan
MKS Mlawa
3 : 0
Kutno
13 Jul
Kutno
3 : 2
Plock II
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