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Huragan Morag vs Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Huragan Morag play Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz in the III Liga - Group I 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Huragan Morag averaged 1.27 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz averaged 1.05 goals scored and 2.29 conceded. In past meetings, Huragan Morag won 1, Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 2, 2021 ended 1:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.04 for Huragan Morag and 1.24 for Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz. This points to a Huragan Morag double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Huragan Morag
28%
Draws
34%
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Huragan Morag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Huragan Morag picked up more points recently compared to Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.04 vs 1.24 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Huragan Morag Clean Sheet 19%
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Huragan Morag Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 3 5
Draws 10 6
Losses 17 27
Goals Scored 1.27 1.05
Goals Conceded 2.37 2.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Huragan Morag vs Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
1:5
Nov 11, 2020 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz vs Huragan Morag
1:1
May 23, 2020 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz vs Huragan Morag
0:0
Oct 26, 2019 III Liga - Group I
Huragan Morag vs Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
3:1
Jun 1, 2019 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz vs Huragan Morag
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Huragan Morag Compare

Top Goalscorer Roseboom Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz Compare

Top Goalscorer Soltysinski S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kania I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Huragan Morag 38 / 100
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Huragan Morag Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Huragan Morag or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Huragan Morag attacking → ← attacking Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Huragan Morag scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz let in goals in 89% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Huragan Morag went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 21
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88