Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hurstville Zagreb vs Newcastle Jets U23

Australia Australia

NSW League One
Our Tip

Match Events

82'
Ahmed M.
82'
Ahmed M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NSW League One matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Hurstville Zagreb
17%
Draws
13%
Newcastle Jets U23
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Hurstville Zagreb

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Newcastle Jets U23 average 1.75 goals a game right now, well clear of Hurstville Zagreb's 1.25.
  • Win probability leans Hurstville Zagreb's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42.400000000000006%
Hurstville Zagreb Clean Sheet 68%
Newcastle Jets U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hurstville Zagreb Newcastle Jets U23
Matches Played 23 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 6 10
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 NSW League One
Newcastle Jets U23 vs Hurstville Zagreb
0:1
Feb 6, 2026 NSW League One
Hurstville Zagreb vs Newcastle Jets U23
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hurstville Zagreb 77 / 100
Newcastle Jets U23 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hurstville Zagreb Newcastle Jets U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hurstville Zagreb scored in 91% of their last 23 games.

Defensive concern: Newcastle Jets U23 conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Hurstville Zagreb has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Newcastle Jets U23's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hurstville Zagreb VS Newcastle Jets U23
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blacktown Spartans23155358:3050
2Northern Tigers23127441:2143
3Canterbury Bankstown FC23125656:3741
4Bankstown City Lions FC23124740:3740
5Macarthur Rams23116630:2439
6Rydalmere Lions2397733:3434
7Bulls Academy231031044:3433
8Hills United2396840:3833
9Hakoah Sydney2379740:3830
10Hurstville Zagreb23761034:3827
11Central Coast U2323761039:4527
12Inter Lions23741229:4225
13Newcastle Jets U2323581043:5223
14Dulwich Hill23581026:4423
15Prospect United23212922:4118
16Western City Rangers23441526:4616