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Hurstville Zagreb vs Rydalmere Lions

Australia Australia

NSW League One
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Lacalandra A.

AI Match Summary

The NSW League One game between Hurstville Zagreb and Rydalmere Lions finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hurstville Zagreb.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Hurstville Zagreb
30%
Draws
34%
Rydalmere Lions
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hurstville Zagreb

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Hurstville Zagreb haven't matched Rydalmere Lions's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Hurstville Zagreb a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Hurstville Zagreb Clean Sheet 20%
Rydalmere Lions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hurstville Zagreb Rydalmere Lions
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 NSW League One
Hurstville Zagreb vs Rydalmere Lions
1:0
Feb 14, 2026 NSW League One
Rydalmere Lions vs Hurstville Zagreb
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hurstville Zagreb Compare

Top Goalscorer Lacalandra A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Rydalmere Lions Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hurstville Zagreb 36 / 100
Rydalmere Lions 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hurstville Zagreb Rydalmere Lions

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hurstville Zagreb found the back of the net in 92% of recent matches (24 games).

Rydalmere Lions let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Hurstville Zagreb remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hurstville Zagreb VS Rydalmere Lions
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blacktown Spartans24165360:3153
2Northern Tigers24137443:2246
3Bankstown City Lions FC24134745:3743
4Macarthur Rams24126632:2542
5Canterbury Bankstown FC24125757:3941
6Rydalmere Lions24107737:3437
7Hills United24106842:3936
8Bulls Academy241031144:3933
9Hakoah Sydney2479841:4030
10Hurstville Zagreb24861037:3930
11Central Coast U2324761140:4727
12Inter Lions24741329:4625
13Newcastle Jets U2324581145:5523
14Dulwich Hill24581127:4723
15Western City Rangers24541529:4819
16Prospect United242121023:4318