Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HV & CV Quick vs Blauw Geel

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Huntink E.
55' Event
de Meij D.
58' Event
Mulders J.

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2024/2025 game between HV & CV Quick and Blauw Geel finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Blauw Geel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
HV & CV Quick
20%
Draws
20%
Blauw Geel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: HV & CV Quick

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Blauw Geel come out ahead of HV & CV Quick on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
  • History favors Blauw Geel here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
HV & CV Quick Clean Sheet 10%
Blauw Geel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HV & CV Quick Blauw Geel
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 5 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 1.35 1.59
Goals Conceded 3 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Derde Divisie
HV & CV Quick vs Blauw Geel
1:3
Oct 20, 2024 Derde Divisie
Blauw Geel vs HV & CV Quick
4:1
Feb 18, 2024 Derde Divisie
Blauw Geel vs HV & CV Quick
2:0
Sep 17, 2023 Derde Divisie
HV & CV Quick vs Blauw Geel
0:3
Jan 22, 2023 Derde Divisie
HV & CV Quick vs Blauw Geel
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HV & CV Quick Compare

Top Goalscorer Huntink E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Blauw Geel Compare

Top Goalscorer de Meij D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mulders J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HV & CV Quick 30 / 100
Blauw Geel 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HV & CV Quick Blauw Geel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blauw Geel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blauw Geel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

HV & CV Quick found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Blauw Geel registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HV & CV Quick VS Blauw Geel
2 Goals Scored 2.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

HV & CV Quick

(Home)
31 May
EVV
1 : 3
HV & CV Quick
27 May
HV & CV Quick
1 : 4
EVV
24 May
HV & CV Quick
4 : 3
SteDoCo
17 May
GOES
3 : 1
HV & CV Quick
11 May
HV & CV Quick
0 : 2
Meerssen
Page 1 of 7

Blauw Geel

(Away)
06 Sept
Blauw Geel
2 : 2
GOES
01 Sept
Sportlust
3 : 1
Blauw Geel
29 Aug
Achilles Veen
3 : 2
Blauw Geel
23 Aug
Blauw Geel
0 : 0
Rijnvogels
15 Aug
VV Noordwijk
2 : 0
Blauw Geel
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IJsselmeervogels 34 26 4 4 98:35 82
2 Harkemase Boys 34 21 7 6 74:46 70
3 Sportlust 34 20 7 7 78:37 67
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 19 8 7 78:52 65
5 Sparta Nijkerk 34 16 10 8 68:50 58
6 USV Hercules 34 16 6 12 65:56 54
7 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 43:39 52
8 Genemuiden 34 13 9 12 52:44 48
9 Urk 34 15 2 17 56:67 47
10 Eemdijk 34 11 10 13 64:66 43
11 TEC 34 11 9 14 46:56 42
12 Rohda Raalte 34 11 7 16 63:68 40
13 HSC '21 34 12 4 18 50:66 40
14 Huizen 34 10 6 18 44:62 36
15 Excelsior 31 34 9 9 16 46:71 36
16 Ajax (Am) 34 9 8 17 48:64 35
17 DEM 34 8 6 20 43:85 30
18 HBC 34 1 7 26 40:92 10
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HSV Hoek 34 20 10 4 77:33 70
2 Kozakken Boys 34 19 7 8 72:29 64
3 Blauw Geel 34 19 7 8 73:45 64
4 VV Kloetinge 34 18 7 9 66:42 61
5 Gemert 34 17 7 10 57:50 58
6 Lisse 34 15 9 10 55:41 54
7 UNA 34 15 8 11 51:48 53
8 VVSB 34 15 6 13 61:61 51
9 SteDoCo 34 13 9 12 57:46 48
10 Meerssen 34 13 6 15 44:50 45
11 Rijnvogels 34 13 6 15 63:72 45
12 ASWH 34 12 6 16 59:73 42
13 TOGB 34 11 8 15 55:53 41
14 GOES 34 9 12 13 53:65 39
15 OJC Rosmalen 34 11 6 17 45:58 39
16 FC 's-Gravenzande 34 9 7 18 51:69 34
17 Smitshoek 34 6 7 21 53:94 25
18 HV & CV Quick 34 5 4 25 42:105 19
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)