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Hviti vs Gnupverjar

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hviti play Gnupverjar in the Icelandic Cup 2016. Hviti are favorites here. Recently, Hviti averaged 2.32 goals scored and 2.06 conceded. Gnupverjar averaged 0.83 goals scored and 4.5 conceded. In past meetings, Hviti won 1, Gnupverjar won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 30, 2016 ended 6:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.73 for Hviti and 1.94 for Gnupverjar. This points to a Hviti double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Hviti
16%
Draws
13%
Gnupverjar
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Hviti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Hviti picked up more points recently compared to Gnupverjar.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.73 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Hviti Clean Sheet 10%
Gnupverjar Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hviti Gnupverjar
Matches Played 31 6
Wins 12 0
Draws 6 0
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 2.32 0.83
Goals Conceded 2.06 4.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2016 Icelandic Cup
Hviti vs Gnupverjar
6:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hviti 66 / 100
Gnupverjar 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hviti Gnupverjar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hviti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Hviti & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.9%
1.59
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hviti attacking → ← attacking Gnupverjar

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hviti scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Gnupverjar let in goals in 100% of their last 6 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Hviti went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Gnupverjar lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 0
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00