Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HVV Hollandia vs USV Hercules

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
van Gorkom B.
19' Event
Stevens B.
(Penalty)
43' Event
Pieters T.

AI Match Summary

USV Hercules in this Derde Divisie 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored USV Hercules.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
HVV Hollandia
6%
Draws
90%
USV Hercules
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: USV Hercules

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to USV Hercules lately — more wins on the board than HVV Hollandia.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on USV Hercules taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
HVV Hollandia Clean Sheet 20%
USV Hercules Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HVV Hollandia USV Hercules
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 10 17
Draws 3 4
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 2 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2022 Derde Divisie
HVV Hollandia vs USV Hercules
1:3
Nov 21, 2021 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs HVV Hollandia
2:0
Apr 11, 2021 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs HVV Hollandia
0:0
Oct 11, 2020 Derde Divisie
HVV Hollandia vs USV Hercules
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HVV Hollandia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

USV Hercules Compare

Top Goalscorer van Gorkom B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pieters T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HVV Hollandia 10 / 100
USV Hercules 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HVV Hollandia USV Hercules

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HVV Hollandia scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

USV Hercules's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: HVV Hollandia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

HVV Hollandia VS USV Hercules
2 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lisse34217670:3870
2Sparta Nijkerk34197865:3864
3Sportlust341771063:4058
4DVS '33 Ermelo341841261:4158
5HSV Hoek341671153:4955
6ACV Assen341491150:4251
7Excelsior 31341491153:4751
8Barendrecht3413111072:5750
9SteDoCo341291349:4845
10Staphorst341361554:5645
11Ter Leede341351649:6744
12Harkemase Boys3410121263:6242
13VV DOVO341081643:5738
14VVSB341081650:6638
15ODIN '59349101552:6837
16VVOG341071761:8237
17Ajax (Am)341061838:5436
18GOES346101844:7828
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1OFC Oostzaan34187966:4761
2USV Hercules341851174:4659
3ADO 20 Heemskerk341771064:4658
4Gemert341512775:5757
5FC OSS '20341681062:4656
6Groene Ster341491148:5051
7Dongen3413111056:4750
8UNA341551460:5850
9HSC '21341541563:5249
10HV & CV Quick341451547:4447
11Blauw Geel341361555:5645
12DEM341361537:5045
13GVV Unitas341261641:5942
14Watergraafsmeer341261659:6940
15Hoogland341161742:6439
16EVV349101536:5937
17HVV Hollandia341051938:5535
18Westlandia34881843:6132