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Hwaseong vs Ansan Greeners

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Hwaseong Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Jang Min-jun
51' Event
Kim Byung-Oh
Assist: Kim D.
56'
Park Kyung-Min

AI Match Summary

The K League 2 game between Hwaseong and Ansan Greeners finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hwaseong.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Hwaseong
6%
Draws
4%
Ansan Greeners
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Hwaseong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hwaseong come out ahead of Ansan Greeners on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Hwaseong's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular K League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Hwaseong Clean Sheet 68%
Ansan Greeners Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hwaseong Ansan Greeners
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 K League 2
Hwaseong vs Ansan Greeners
2:0
Aug 30, 2025 K League 2
Ansan Greeners vs Hwaseong
0:1
Jun 15, 2025 K League 2
Hwaseong vs Ansan Greeners
0:0
Mar 29, 2025 K League 2
Ansan Greeners vs Hwaseong
3:3
Mar 29, 2023 Korean Cup
Hwaseong vs Ansan Greeners
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hwaseong Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Byung-Oh
1 Goals
Assists Leader Woo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Ansan Greeners Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hwaseong 95 / 100
Ansan Greeners 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hwaseong Ansan Greeners

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HWA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ansan Greeners let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Hwaseong scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Hwaseong stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hwaseong VS Ansan Greeners
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Busan16113235:2036
2Daegu1795336:2332
3Suwon Bluewings16102422:1432
4Suwon FC1685334:2129
5Seoul E-Land1692528:1929
6Hwaseong1674523:1925
7Gimpo FC1767420:1925
8Chungnam Asan1666424:1924
9Gyeongnam1655620:2520
10Cheonan City1647519:1919
11Yongin FC1638520:2317
12Paju Frontier1652917:2217
13Seongnam1638516:1817
14Cheongju16111419:2714
15Ansan Greeners16421017:2914
16Jeonnam1616918:319
17Gimhae16231113:339