Sport Picks

South Korea

K League 2 Hwaseong Stadium

Hwaseong

3 - 2

Busan

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

Lee Dong-Su

Own Goal

21'

Jegal Jae-Min

Assist: Kim D.

30'

Gabriel Honorio

Assist: Lee Dong-Su

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The K League 2 game between Hwaseong and Busan finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hwaseong.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Hwaseong

33%

Draws

40%

Busan

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Busan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Hwaseong haven't matched Busan's recent run of results.
40% — that's where the model lands on Busan taking it.
Regular K League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%

Hwaseong Clean Sheet 11%

Busan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hwaseong	Busan
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	10	14
Draws	8	8
Losses	10	6
Goals Scored	1.88	2.38
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 K League 2

Hwaseong vs Busan

Possession: 52% - 46% Cards: 3 - 1

3:2

Sep 28, 2025 K League 2

Hwaseong vs Busan

Possession: 49% - 57% Cards: 4 - 3

1:1

Jul 19, 2025 K League 2

Hwaseong vs Busan

Possession: 52% - 49% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Apr 27, 2025 K League 2

Busan vs Hwaseong

Possession: 49% - 58% Cards: 3 - 1

3:2

Jul 1, 2020 Korean Cup

Busan vs Hwaseong

Possession: 57% - 51% Cards: 2 - 4

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hwaseong Compare

Top Goalscorer Jegal Jae-Min

1 Goals

Assists Leader Petrov S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Busan Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Honorio

1 Goals

Assists Leader Cristian Renato

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.16

Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hwaseong 27 / 100

Busan 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hwaseong Busan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUS Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Hwaseong scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Busan let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Hwaseong has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hwaseong VS Busan

1.88 Goals Scored 2.38

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13

100% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Busan	16	11	3	2	35:20	36
2	Daegu	17	9	5	3	36:23	32
3	Suwon Bluewings	16	10	2	4	22:14	32
4	Suwon FC	16	8	5	3	34:21	29
5	Seoul E-Land	16	9	2	5	28:19	29
6	Hwaseong	16	7	4	5	23:19	25
7	Gimpo FC	17	6	7	4	20:19	25
8	Chungnam Asan	16	6	6	4	24:19	24
9	Gyeongnam	16	5	5	6	20:25	20
10	Cheonan City	16	4	7	5	19:19	19
11	Yongin FC	16	3	8	5	20:23	17
12	Paju Frontier	16	5	2	9	17:22	17
13	Seongnam	16	3	8	5	16:18	17
14	Cheongju	16	1	11	4	19:27	14
15	Ansan Greeners	16	4	2	10	17:29	14
16	Jeonnam	16	1	6	9	18:31	9
17	Gimhae	16	2	3	11	13:33	9