Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hwaseong vs Jeonnam

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Hwaseong Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hwaseong play Jeonnam in the K League 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hwaseong averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Jeonnam averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Hwaseong won 2, Jeonnam won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Hwaseong and 1.13 for Jeonnam. This points to a Hwaseong double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Hwaseong
22%
Draws
33%
Jeonnam
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Hwaseong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Hwaseong picked up more points recently compared to Jeonnam.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Hwaseong Clean Sheet 21%
Jeonnam Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hwaseong Jeonnam
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.21 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 K League 2
Hwaseong vs Jeonnam
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 K League 2
Jeonnam vs Hwaseong
1:2
May 31, 2025 K League 2
Jeonnam vs Hwaseong
3:2
Apr 12, 2025 K League 2
Hwaseong vs Jeonnam
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hwaseong Compare

Top Goalscorer Petrov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Jeonnam Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hwaseong 45 / 100
Jeonnam 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hwaseong Jeonnam

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Hwaseong or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hwaseong attacking → ← attacking Jeonnam

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hwaseong scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Jeonnam let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Hwaseong went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Jeonnam lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 29
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Busan15103233:2033
2Suwon Bluewings15102321:1232
3Seoul E-Land1692528:1929
4Daegu1584332:2028
5Suwon FC1575329:2126
6Hwaseong1574422:1725
7Gimpo FC1566319:1624
8Chungnam Asan1565423:1823
9Cheonan City1547419:1819
10Gyeongnam1554619:2419
11Seongnam1538414:1517
12Yongin FC1537519:2216
13Paju Frontier1542915:2114
14Cheongju15110418:2613
15Ansan Greeners15321015:2811
16Jeonnam1516818:269
17Gimhae15131112:336