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Hyde vs Ashton United

England England

NPL Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Kershaw B.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Hyde in this NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hyde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Hyde
20%
Draws
40%
Ashton United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Ashton United average 1.32 goals a game right now, well clear of Hyde's 1.17.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Ashton United taking it.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Hyde Clean Sheet 12%
Ashton United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hyde Ashton United
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Hyde vs Ashton United
1:0
Dec 26, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Hyde
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Hyde
1:1
Nov 2, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Hyde vs Ashton United
1:1
Jan 1, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Hyde vs Ashton United
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hyde 22 / 100
Ashton United 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hyde Ashton United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ashton United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ashton United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Hyde scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Difficult form: Ashton United registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hyde VS Ashton United
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hyde

(Home)
12 Sept
Hyde
1 : 3
Whitby
05 Sept
Warrington Rylands
3 : 1
Hyde
31 Aug
Hyde
2 : 1
Bury FC
29 Aug
Bamber Bridge
4 : 4
Hyde
25 Aug
Alfreton
4 : 0
Hyde
Page 1 of 6

Ashton United

(Away)
12 Sept
Ashton United
0 : 1
Cleethorpes
05 Sept
Whitby
2 : 5
Ashton United
31 Aug
Curzon Ashton
2 : 0
Ashton United
28 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 2
Gainsborough
25 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 1
Ilkeston
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hebburn Town 40 23 10 7 75:41 79
2 Hednesford 40 22 11 7 62:35 77
3 United of Manchester 40 21 9 10 65:41 72
4 Warrington Rylands 40 18 13 9 59:42 67
5 Stockton 40 18 12 10 62:50 63
6 Lancaster 40 17 11 12 56:45 62
7 Gainsborough 40 16 11 13 50:45 59
8 Leek Town 40 17 7 16 50:52 58
9 Cleethorpes 40 14 13 13 56:47 55
10 Ashton United 40 14 11 15 47:54 53
11 Ilkeston 40 15 7 18 52:54 52
12 Bamber Bridge 40 14 8 18 52:52 50
13 Guiseley 40 13 9 18 46:56 48
14 Warrington Town 40 12 12 16 43:63 48
15 Hyde 40 11 14 15 58:63 47
16 Rushall 40 12 11 17 48:61 47
17 Whitby 40 10 13 17 43:55 43
18 Workington 40 10 13 17 43:58 43
19 Prescot Cables 40 9 15 16 40:50 42
20 Morpeth 40 12 6 22 38:54 42
21 Stocksbridge 40 8 12 20 38:65 36
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)