Sport Picks

Stadium Background

IAPE vs ITZ Sport

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with IAPE advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
IAPE
20%
Draws
0%
ITZ Sport
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: IAPE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • ITZ Sport haven't matched IAPE's recent run of results.
  • IAPE are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • IAPE have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor IAPE, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors IAPE here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
IAPE Clean Sheet 20%
ITZ Sport Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IAPE ITZ Sport
Matches Played 36 24
Wins 14 7
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.11 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Maranhense
IAPE vs ITZ Sport
1:0
Nov 21, 2024 Maranhense 2
IAPE vs ITZ Sport
3:1
Nov 17, 2024 Maranhense 2
ITZ Sport vs IAPE
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IAPE 67 / 100
ITZ Sport 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IAPE ITZ Sport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IAPE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: ITZ Sport has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: IAPE scored in 69% of their last 36 outings.

ITZ Sport has conceded goals in 79% of their last 24 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

IAPE VS ITZ Sport
1 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 3.33
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

IAPE

(Home)
07 Jun
Maracana
2 : 0
IAPE
31 May
IAPE
1 : 3
Sampaio Correa
23 May
IAPE
1 : 1
Iguatu
16 May
Moto Club
2 : 2
IAPE
09 May
IAPE
1 : 2
Parnahyba
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ITZ Sport

(Away)
01 Feb
Sampaio Correa
6 : 0
ITZ Sport
28 Jan
ITZ Sport
0 : 2
Luminense
25 Jan
ITZ Sport
0 : 2
Tuntum
21 Jan
Maranhao
1 : 0
ITZ Sport
17 Jan
ITZ Sport
0 : 1
Imperatriz
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
IAPE 6
ITZ Sport 1
Viana 4
Sao Luis 1
Final
IAPE 0
Viana 1