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Ibarra vs Tamaraceite

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Olivera F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Ibarra advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Ibarra
15%
Draws
37%
Tamaraceite
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ibarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tamaraceite come out ahead of Ibarra on wins alone.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Tamaraceite taking it.
  • Tamaraceite arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ibarra, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Ibarra Clean Sheet 14%
Tamaraceite Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ibarra Tamaraceite
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 17 18
Draws 4 4
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.47 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tamaraceite vs Ibarra
3:0
May 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Ibarra vs Tamaraceite
1:0
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Ibarra vs Tamaraceite
3:1
Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tamaraceite vs Ibarra
1:0
Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tamaraceite vs Ibarra
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ibarra Compare

Top Goalscorer Olivera F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Tamaraceite Compare

Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ibarra 15 / 100
Tamaraceite 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ibarra Tamaraceite

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tamaraceite Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ibarra's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Tamaraceite's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ibarra stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tamaraceite
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ibarra

(Home)
24 May
Tamaraceite
3 : 0
Ibarra
17 May
Ibarra
1 : 0
Tamaraceite
11 May
Ibarra
3 : 1
Tamaraceite
04 May
Las Palmas B
2 : 0
Ibarra
26 Apr
Ibarra
1 : 0
Herbania
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Tamaraceite

(Away)
29 Aug
Villa Santa Brigida
1 : 5
Tamaraceite
04 Aug
Tenerife
3 : 2
Tamaraceite
21 Jun
Tamaraceite
2 : 0
Guijuelo
14 Jun
Guijuelo
2 : 1
Tamaraceite
07 Jun
UD San Fernando
1 : 1
Tamaraceite
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
UD San Fernando 3
Mensajero 1
Tamaraceite 3
Ibarra 1
Final
UD San Fernando 1
Tamaraceite 1