Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ibarra vs Tamaraceite

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Medina J.
38' Event
Lias Montero A.
71' Event
Bentos S.

AI Match Summary

Ibarra in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ibarra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ibarra
15%
Draws
34%
Tamaraceite
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ibarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Tamaraceite have won more games recently than Ibarra.
  • Win probability leans Tamaraceite's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Ibarra Clean Sheet 15%
Tamaraceite Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ibarra Tamaraceite
Matches Played 31 41
Wins 17 23
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.42 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.16 0.95
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tamaraceite vs Ibarra
3:0
May 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Ibarra vs Tamaraceite
1:0
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Ibarra vs Tamaraceite
3:1
Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tamaraceite vs Ibarra
1:0
Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tamaraceite vs Ibarra
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ibarra Compare

Top Goalscorer Medina J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lias Montero A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Tamaraceite Compare

Top Goalscorer Baez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ibarra 19 / 100
Tamaraceite 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ibarra Tamaraceite

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tamaraceite Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ibarra scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ibarra stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Tamaraceite's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tamaraceite
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ibarra

(Home)
24 May
Tamaraceite
3 : 0
Ibarra
17 May
Ibarra
1 : 0
Tamaraceite
11 May
Ibarra
3 : 1
Tamaraceite
04 May
Las Palmas B
2 : 0
Ibarra
26 Apr
Ibarra
1 : 0
Herbania
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Tamaraceite

(Away)
06 Sept
Tamaraceite
0 : 1
Sevilla B
29 Aug
Villa Santa Brigida
1 : 5
Tamaraceite
04 Aug
Tenerife
3 : 2
Tamaraceite
21 Jun
Tamaraceite
2 : 0
Guijuelo
14 Jun
Guijuelo
2 : 1
Tamaraceite
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Palmas B 34 22 10 2 66:17 76
2 UD San Fernando 34 21 10 3 58:20 73
3 Tamaraceite 34 18 9 7 48:29 63
4 Ibarra 34 18 5 11 49:40 59
5 Mensajero 34 16 8 10 50:37 56
6 Lanzarote 34 16 7 11 56:33 55
7 Panaderia 34 13 11 10 45:39 50
8 CD Marino 34 12 11 11 43:45 47
9 Arucas 34 12 9 13 38:36 45
10 San Bartolome 34 10 15 9 43:35 45
11 Villa Santa Brigida 34 10 11 13 34:42 41
12 Herbania 34 10 10 14 33:41 40
13 CD Santa Ursula 34 10 10 14 29:42 40
14 San Miguel 34 10 7 17 36:54 37
15 CD Buzanada 34 9 5 20 27:54 32
16 Estrella 34 7 9 18 30:57 30
17 Los Llanos 34 7 7 20 25:52 28
18 Union Viera 34 3 10 21 28:65 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 (Play Offs)