Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iberia 1999 2 vs Merani Tbilisi

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 Stadioni Bendela, Tbilisi
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Gobeshia T.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 game between Iberia 1999 2 and Merani Tbilisi finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Iberia 1999 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Iberia 1999 2
6%
Draws
4%
Merani Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Iberia 1999 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Merani Tbilisi haven't matched Iberia 1999 2's recent run of results.
  • Iberia 1999 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Iberia 1999 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Merani Tbilisi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iberia 1999 2 Merani Tbilisi
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Liga 3
Iberia 1999 2 vs Merani Tbilisi
1:0
Oct 10, 2024 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Iberia 1999 2
3:3
Apr 18, 2024 Liga 3
Iberia 1999 2 vs Merani Tbilisi
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iberia 1999 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gobeshia T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Merani Tbilisi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iberia 1999 2 85 / 100
Merani Tbilisi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iberia 1999 2 Merani Tbilisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IBE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iberia 1999 2's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Merani Tbilisi has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Iberia 1999 2 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iberia 1999 2 VS Merani Tbilisi
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Iberia 1999 2

(Home)
26 Jun
Merani Martvili 2
1 : 2
Iberia 1999 2
21 Jun
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
0 : 2
Iberia 1999 2
15 Jun
Iberia 1999 2
3 : 0
Khobi
28 May
Margveti 2006
2 : 0
Iberia 1999 2
21 May
Iberia 1999 2
6 : 0
FC Gardabani
Page 1 of 6

Merani Tbilisi

(Away)
26 Jun
Guria
6 : 1
Merani Tbilisi
21 Jun
Merani Tbilisi
1 : 1
Orbi
14 Jun
WIT Georgia
0 : 1
Merani Tbilisi
28 May
Merani Tbilisi
0 : 2
FC Tbilisi 2025
21 May
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
0 : 1
Merani Tbilisi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Tbilisi 202515123040:839
2Guria15103242:1033
3Iberia 1999 21594225:931
4Gonio1593325:1130
5Orbi1582526:1526
6Merani Tbilisi1574421:1625
7Didube1574422:1825
8WIT Georgia1573521:1424
9Dinamo Tbilisi 21553718:1818
10Khobi1552820:2817
11Locomotive Tbilisi1544714:2116
12Margveti 20061551915:3016
13FC Gardabani1534814:3013
14Iveria Khashuri1516813:289
15Betlemi Keda1523109:339
16FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi1503128:443
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
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