Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iberia 1999 2 vs Merani Tbilisi

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 Stadioni Bendela, Tbilisi
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Gobeshia T.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 game between Iberia 1999 2 and Merani Tbilisi finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Iberia 1999 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Iberia 1999 2
35%
Draws
44%
Merani Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Merani Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Merani Tbilisi haven't matched Iberia 1999 2's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Iberia 1999 2 Clean Sheet 16%
Merani Tbilisi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iberia 1999 2 Merani Tbilisi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.53 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Liga 3
Iberia 1999 2 vs Merani Tbilisi
1:0
Oct 10, 2024 Liga 3
Merani Tbilisi vs Iberia 1999 2
3:3
Apr 18, 2024 Liga 3
Iberia 1999 2 vs Merani Tbilisi
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iberia 1999 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gobeshia T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Merani Tbilisi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iberia 1999 2 31 / 100
Merani Tbilisi 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iberia 1999 2 Merani Tbilisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merani Tbilisi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iberia 1999 2's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Merani Tbilisi has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Iberia 1999 2 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iberia 1999 2 VS Merani Tbilisi
1.38 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Iberia 1999 2

(Home)
17 Sept
Iberia 1999 2
3 : 0
WIT Georgia
10 Sept
FC Tbilisi 2025
1 : 1
Iberia 1999 2
03 Sept
Iberia 1999 2
1 : 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
28 Aug
Gonio
2 : 2
Iberia 1999 2
21 Aug
Guria
2 : 0
Iberia 1999 2
Page 1 of 6

Merani Tbilisi

(Away)
17 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
2 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
10 Sept
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
Khobi
03 Sept
Margveti 2006
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
27 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1
FC Gardabani
20 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guria 22 16 3 3 63:11 51
2 FC Tbilisi 2025 22 14 7 1 54:14 49
3 Iberia 1999 2 22 11 8 3 34:16 41
4 Merani Tbilisi 22 11 6 5 37:27 39
5 Gonio 22 11 5 6 32:22 38
6 WIT Georgia 22 10 5 7 35:25 35
7 Orbi 22 10 4 8 36:25 34
8 Didube 22 9 7 6 34:28 34
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 22 9 5 8 34:30 32
10 Margveti 2006 22 9 3 10 30:35 30
11 Locomotive Tbilisi 22 7 7 8 27:28 28
12 Khobi 22 6 3 13 28:45 21
13 FC Gardabani 22 4 4 14 18:53 16
14 Iveria Khashuri 22 1 10 11 22:46 13
15 Betlemi Keda 22 3 4 15 13:54 13
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 22 2 5 15 18:56 11
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)