Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iberia 1999 2 vs Samgurali II

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2018 Stadioni Bendela, Tbilisi
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2018 game between Iberia 1999 2 and Samgurali II finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Iberia 1999 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Iberia 1999 2
30%
Draws
35%
Samgurali II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Iberia 1999 2 come out ahead of Samgurali II on wins alone.
  • Iberia 1999 2 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Liga 3 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Iberia 1999 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Samgurali II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iberia 1999 2 Samgurali II
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.59 1.2
Goals Conceded 1 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2018 Liga 3
Iberia 1999 2 vs Samgurali II
2:1
May 19, 2018 Liga 3
Samgurali II vs Iberia 1999 2
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iberia 1999 2 58 / 100
Samgurali II 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iberia 1999 2 Samgurali II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iberia 1999 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Iberia 1999 2 scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Samgurali II has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Solid form: Iberia 1999 2 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Iberia 1999 2 VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Iberia 1999 2

(Home)
17 Sept
Iberia 1999 2
3 : 0
WIT Georgia
10 Sept
FC Tbilisi 2025
1 : 1
Iberia 1999 2
03 Sept
Iberia 1999 2
1 : 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
28 Aug
Gonio
2 : 2
Iberia 1999 2
21 Aug
Guria
2 : 0
Iberia 1999 2
Page 1 of 7

Samgurali II

(Away)
21 Jul
Samgurali II
0 : 2
Gagra
10 Jun
Real Varketili 2
1 : 5
Samgurali II
21 Apr
Samgurali II
1 : 3
Telavi
06 Dec
Samgurali II
2 : 1
Samegrelo
29 Nov
Dusheti
5 : 0
Samgurali II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Zugdidi 38 27 3 8 65:31 84
2 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 38 25 7 6 78:40 79
3 Guria 38 21 10 7 59:31 73
4 Iberia 1999 2 38 21 4 13 60:50 67
5 FC Kolkheti Khobi 38 17 10 11 54:35 61
6 Borjomi 38 18 7 13 66:56 61
7 Dusheti 38 19 4 15 64:55 61
8 Meshakhte Tkibuli 38 17 6 15 59:54 57
9 Gori 38 14 11 13 58:48 53
10 Betlemi Keda 38 14 9 15 52:58 51
11 Samegrelo 38 13 9 16 63:55 48
12 FC Tbilisi 2025 38 13 8 17 58:58 47
13 Chiatura 38 12 11 15 39:47 47
14 Mark Stars Tbilisi 38 13 7 18 59:65 46
15 Algeti Marneuli 38 13 7 18 54:64 46
16 Khoni 38 12 9 17 44:52 45
17 FC Gardabani 38 11 6 21 39:63 39
18 Sulori Vani 38 10 6 22 38:77 36
19 Samgurali II 38 8 7 23 40:82 31
20 Matchakhela 38 5 13 20 35:63 28
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2019 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018 (Relegation)