Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iberia 1999 vs Gagra

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Mikheil Meskhi Stadium, Tbilisi
Our Tip

Match Events

49'
Kobuladze G.
56' Event
Bartishvili A.
Assist: Kutsia G.
59'
Sub
Natchkebia Z. In: Lucas Cafe
Out: Natchkebia Z.

AI Match Summary

The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga game between Iberia 1999 and Gagra finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Iberia 1999.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Iberia 1999
20%
Draws
29%
Gagra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Iberia 1999

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Iberia 1999 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Iberia 1999's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Iberia 1999 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Iberia 1999 Clean Sheet 68%
Gagra Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iberia 1999 Gagra
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 11
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.27 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Gagra vs Iberia 1999
2:0
May 20, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Iberia 1999 vs Gagra
1:0
Apr 3, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Gagra vs Iberia 1999
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Iberia 1999 vs Gagra
2:1
Oct 3, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Gagra vs Iberia 1999
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iberia 1999 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bartishvili A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Gagra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iberia 1999 68 / 100
Gagra 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iberia 1999 Gagra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iberia 1999 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gagra has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Iberia 1999 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Iberia 1999 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iberia 1999 VS Gagra
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Iberia 1999

(Home)
04 Oct
Iberia 1999
1 : 2
Dinamo Tbilisi
21 Sept
FC Rustavi
0 : 2
Iberia 1999
17 Sept
Iberia 1999
2 : 1
Dila Gori
13 Sept
Iberia 1999
1 : 0
Spaeri
09 Sept
Dinamo Batumi
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
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Gagra

(Away)
19 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli
14 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
4 : 0
Gagra
10 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Torpedo Kutaisi
05 Sept
Dila Gori
1 : 0
Gagra
31 Aug
Gagra
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Batumi 27 13 8 6 46:36 47
2 Iberia 1999 26 14 4 8 37:28 46
3 FC Rustavi 27 13 7 7 32:23 46
4 Dinamo Tbilisi 26 12 9 5 43:29 45
5 Dila Gori 27 12 4 11 38:30 40
6 Torpedo Kutaisi 27 9 9 9 43:34 36
7 Samgurali 27 9 5 13 38:52 32
8 Gagra 27 6 11 10 25:37 29
9 Spaeri 27 5 10 12 34:43 25
10 Meshakhte Tkibuli 27 2 11 14 20:44 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)