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Ibis Sport Club vs Afogadense

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2012
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AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2012 game between Ibis Sport Club and Afogadense finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ibis Sport Club
20%
Draws
51%
Afogadense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Afogadense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Afogadense come out ahead of Ibis Sport Club on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Afogadense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Ibis Sport Club Clean Sheet 20%
Afogadense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ibis Sport Club Afogadense
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 8 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.28 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Afogadense vs Ibis Sport Club
5:1
Aug 8, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Ibis Sport Club vs Afogadense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ibis Sport Club 24 / 100
Afogadense 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ibis Sport Club Afogadense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afogadense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Ibis Sport Club's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Afogadense conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Ibis Sport Club went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ibis Sport Club VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ibis Sport Club

(Home)
24 Aug
Ibis Sport Club
0 : 2
Ipojuca
17 Aug
Cabense
1 : 1
Ibis Sport Club
10 Aug
Ibis Sport Club
1 : 2
Centro Limoeirense
04 Aug
Atletico PE
1 : 3
Ibis Sport Club
27 Jul
Ibis Sport Club
1 : 1
Vera Cruz
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Afogadense

(Away)
10 Oct
Cabense
3 : 0
Afogadense
03 Oct
Afogadense
5 : 1
Ibis Sport Club
30 Sept
Olinda FC
5 : 1
Afogadense
26 Sept
Afogadense
2 : 0
Pesqueira
23 Sept
Ferroviario do Cabo
0 : 2
Afogadense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cha Grande 28 18 7 3 64:27 61
2 Cabense 28 17 7 4 52:17 58
3 Pesqueira 28 18 2 8 50:29 56
4 Olinda FC 28 17 8 3 62:28 56
5 Academica Vitoria 28 14 8 6 53:36 50
6 Carpina SC 28 14 5 9 39:29 47
7 Afogadense 28 12 9 7 48:42 45
8 Timbauba FC 28 12 7 9 35:26 43
9 Ipojuca 28 9 7 12 41:40 34
10 Jaguar 28 5 10 13 40:53 25
11 Sete de Setembro (PE) 28 5 10 13 28:50 25
12 Centro Limoeirense 28 6 3 19 30:64 21
13 Ibis Sport Club 28 4 9 15 31:64 21
14 Ferroviario do Cabo 28 4 6 18 30:61 18
15 Atletico PE 28 2 8 18 22:59 14
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2012 (Play Offs)