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Ibri vs Al Nasr

Oman Oman

Professional League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Ackah P.
27' Event
Al Sulaimi K. I. K. R.
58' Event
Besan J.

AI Match Summary

Al Nasr in this Professional League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Nasr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Ibri
15%
Draws
64%
Al Nasr
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Nasr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Al Nasr have won more games recently than Ibri.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Al Nasr here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ibri Clean Sheet 11%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ibri Al Nasr
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 17
Draws 2 6
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.11 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.79 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Professional League
Ibri vs Al Nasr
2:4
Nov 7, 2025 Professional League
Al Nasr vs Ibri
4:1
Apr 6, 2025 Professional League
Al Nasr vs Ibri
1:0
Sep 24, 2024 Professional League
Ibri vs Al Nasr
0:2
Apr 4, 2024 Professional League
Al Nasr vs Ibri
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ibri Compare

Top Goalscorer Ackah P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Besan J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Al Nasr Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Sulaimi K. I. K. R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Al Mushaifri A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ibri 30 / 100
Al Nasr 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ibri Al Nasr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Ibri scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Al Nasr's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Ibri stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ibri VS Al Nasr
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ibri

(Home)
10 Sept
Ibri
1 : 2
Saham
05 Sept
Ibri
4 : 0
Al-Samail
31 Aug
Sohar
0 : 0
Ibri
25 Aug
Ibri
1 : 3
Sohar
23 May
Al Seeb
7 : 1
Ibri
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Al Nasr

(Away)
12 Sept
Al Nasr
2 : 0
Al-Msnaa
06 Sept
Dhofar
1 : 2
Al Nasr
30 Aug
Al Nasr
2 : 0
Fanja SC
18 Aug
Dhofar
3 : 1
Al Nasr
23 May
Saham
0 : 2
Al Nasr
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Seeb 26 21 4 1 59:14 67
2 Al-Shabab 26 17 3 6 51:27 54
3 Al Nasr 26 16 5 5 35:20 53
4 Al Nahda 26 13 5 8 31:23 44
5 Bahla 26 12 4 10 39:32 40
6 Oman Club 26 11 6 9 27:28 39
7 Sohar 26 10 8 8 35:28 38
8 Sur Club 26 8 8 10 34:37 32
9 Dhofar 26 7 6 13 23:30 27
10 Al-Samail 26 6 8 12 25:39 26
11 Saham 26 7 5 14 22:44 26
12 Ibri 26 7 2 17 27:52 23
13 Al Khaboora 26 4 10 12 23:35 22
14 Al-Rustaq 26 3 6 17 24:46 15
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