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IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Stjarnan

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Hasteinsvollur, Vestmannaeyjar
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Waren B.
12'
Eggertsson O.
28' Event
Hardarson S.
Assist: Hilmarsson A.

AI Match Summary

IBV Vestmannaeyjar in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored IBV Vestmannaeyjar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
30%
Draws
58%
Stjarnan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stjarnan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Stjarnan have won more games recently than IBV Vestmannaeyjar.
  • Win probability leans Stjarnan's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Clean Sheet 14%
Stjarnan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IBV Vestmannaeyjar Stjarnan
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 5 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.39 1.9
Goals Conceded 2 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Besta deild karla
Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2:0
Sep 6, 2026 Besta deild karla
Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2:2
Jun 21, 2026 Besta deild karla
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Stjarnan
2:1
Jul 14, 2025 Besta deild karla
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Stjarnan
1:0
Apr 28, 2025 Besta deild karla
Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IBV Vestmannaeyjar Compare

Top Goalscorer Hardarson S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gunnarsson B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Stjarnan Compare

Top Goalscorer Waren B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IBV Vestmannaeyjar 19 / 100
Stjarnan 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Stjarnan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stjarnan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Stjarnan conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

IBV Vestmannaeyjar's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

IBV Vestmannaeyjar went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

IBV Vestmannaeyjar VS Stjarnan
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

(Home)
20 Sept
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 : 1
Valur
13 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
06 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
29 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0 : 1
Thor Akureyri
23 Aug
Keflavik
1 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Page 1 of 6

Stjarnan

(Away)
20 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
5 : 2
Stjarnan
13 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
06 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
31 Aug
Breidablik
0 : 2
Stjarnan
23 Aug
Stjarnan
4 : 2
Thor Akureyri
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)