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Icasa vs Pacatuba

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Valter Julio
20' Event
Valter Julio
45' Event
de Oliveira J. R.

AI Match Summary

Icasa in this Cearense 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Icasa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Icasa
35%
Draws
34%
Pacatuba
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Icasa have won more games recently than Pacatuba.
  • Icasa are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Cearense 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Icasa have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Icasa Clean Sheet 68%
Pacatuba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Icasa Pacatuba
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 13 4
Draws 11 9
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.5 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2025 Cearense 2
Icasa vs Pacatuba
5:0
Feb 23, 2025 Cearense 2
Pacatuba vs Icasa
1:1
Mar 7, 2024 Cearense 2
Pacatuba vs Icasa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Icasa Compare

Top Goalscorer Valter Julio
2 Goals
Assists Leader de Oliveira J. R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Pacatuba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Icasa 59 / 100
Pacatuba 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Icasa Pacatuba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Icasa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Icasa found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Pacatuba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 23 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Icasa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Icasa VS Pacatuba
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Icasa

(Home)
14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2
Itapipoca
06 Jun
Itapipoca
0 : 0
Icasa
30 May
Icasa
3 : 0
Crateus
24 May
Crateus
0 : 0
Icasa
13 May
Icasa
2 : 1
Guarani de Juazeiro
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Pacatuba

(Away)
12 Sept
Pacatuba
1 : 1
Vila Real
05 Sept
Pacatuba
2 : 1
Calouros do Ar
30 Aug
Palmacia
2 : 2
Pacatuba
15 Aug
Pacatuba
1 : 0
Esporte Limoeiro
11 Aug
Tiangua EC
2 : 2
Pacatuba
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapipoca 8 6 1 1 15:4 19
2 Maranguape 8 5 1 2 11:4 16
3 Caucaia 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
4 Atletico Cearense 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
5 Tiradentes 8 0 2 6 6:18 2
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quixada 8 5 1 2 14:11 16
2 Crato 8 3 2 3 13:10 11
3 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 3 2 3 11:14 11
4 Icasa 8 2 5 1 14:7 11
5 Pacatuba 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 3 (Main)